7 September 2026, 00:30 UTC

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Avellaneda
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Racing Club 1-2 Atletico Tucuman.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Racing Club, 31% draw, 30% Atletico Tucuman — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Racing Club at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Racing Club4%Draw93%Atletico Tucuman3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

U. Ortegoza
13'
14'
⚽L. Diaz (pen)assist: L. Diaz
24'
⚽L. Godoyassist: N. Lamendola
28'
L. Di Placido
🔁U. Ortegozaout: M. Zaracho
31'
🔁M. Miljevicout: G. A. Lodico
31'
🔁T. Conechnyout: D. Vergara
46'
M. Perez
67'
⚽L. Perezassist: M. Rojo
71'
81'
🔁L. Diazout: R. Ruiz
🔁L. Diazout: A. Fernandez
81'
86'
🔁R. Tesuriout: G. Compagnucci
86'
🔁N. Francoout: J. Fernandez
88'
🔁I. Galvanout: J. Infante
90+3'
⚽R. Ruizassist: G. Compagnucci
🔁M. Zarachoout: E. Torres
90+6'

Match stats — Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman

75%Possession25%
19Shots12
4On target6
3Corners3
1.45xG2.33

Goals against chances

Racing Club1 from 1.45 xGabout what the chances were worth
Atletico Tucuman2 from 2.33 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Racing Club 4-3-3
  • 25F. CambesesG
  • 4E. CannavoD
  • 2M. PerezD
  • 6M. RojoD
  • 19I. RodriguezD
  • 16U. OrtegozaM
  • 33L. PerezM
  • 10M. MiljevicM
  • 32L. DiazF
  • 9Adrian MartinezF
  • 17T. ConechnyF
Substitutes
  • 30M. TagliamonteG
  • 18PachaD
  • 14J. BarinagaD
  • 43G. EscuderoD
  • 38M. MartinezD
  • 5M. KranevitterM
  • 11M. ZarachoM
  • 20G. A. LodicoM
  • 24A. FernandezM
Coach: Juan Vojvoda
Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1
  • 1L. IngolottiG
  • 24L. Di PlacidoD
  • 26C. D. Ferreira NamanduD
  • 36L. VallejoD
  • 21I. GalvanD
  • 19L. VegaM
  • 11R. TesuriM
  • 31L. GodoyM
  • 10N. FrancoM
  • 23N. LamendolaM
  • 9L. DiazF
Substitutes
  • 25T. DursoG
  • 6G. FerrariD
  • 3M. VillaD
  • 32J. InfanteD
  • 27R. GranilloF
  • 5J. FernandezM
  • 8E. HamM
  • 28G. CompagnucciD
  • 14A. CaneloF
Coach: Julio Falcioni

Form going into Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman

Racing Club

  • L1-3away to Independiente Rivadavia31 August 2026
  • D1-1Boca Juniors24 August 2026
  • L0-1Banfield14 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors9 August 2026
  • L1-3Tigre1 August 2026

Atletico Tucuman

  • D0-0Belgrano Cordoba30 August 2026
  • D0-0Instituto Cordoba22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto17 August 2026
  • L1-2Sarmiento Junin8 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Huracan4 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman

  • 7 September 2026Racing Club 1–2 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 4 March 2026Atletico Tucuman 0–3 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 1 September 2024Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 April 2023Racing Club 1–3 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 10 October 2022Racing Club 2–0 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 March 2022Atletico Tucuman 0–4 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Racing Club and Atletico Tucuman

Racing Club

No leading scorers listed yet.

Atletico Tucuman

  • L. Díaz7 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.