7 September 2026, 00:30 UTC

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

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Final score: Racing Club 1-2 Atletico Tucuman.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Racing Club, 31% draw, 30% Atletico Tucuman — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Racing Club at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Racing Club4%Draw93%Atletico Tucuman3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

U. Ortegoza
13'
14'
⚽L. Diaz (pen)assist: L. Diaz
24'
⚽L. Godoyassist: N. Lamendola
28'
L. Di Placido
🔁U. Ortegozaout: M. Zaracho
31'
🔁M. Miljevicout: G. A. Lodico
31'
🔁T. Conechnyout: D. Vergara
46'
M. Perez
67'
⚽L. Perezassist: M. Rojo
71'
81'
🔁L. Diazout: R. Ruiz
🔁L. Diazout: A. Fernandez
81'
86'
🔁R. Tesuriout: G. Compagnucci
86'
🔁N. Francoout: J. Fernandez
88'
🔁I. Galvanout: J. Infante
90+3'
⚽R. Ruizassist: G. Compagnucci
🔁M. Zarachoout: E. Torres
90+6'

Match stats — Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman

75%Possession25%
19Shots12
4On target6
3Corners3
1.45xG2.33

Goals against chances

Racing Club1 from 1.45 xGabout what the chances were worth
Atletico Tucuman2 from 2.33 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Racing Club 4-3-3
  • 25F. CambesesG
  • 4E. CannavoD
  • 2M. PerezD
  • 6M. RojoD
  • 19I. RodriguezD
  • 16U. OrtegozaM
  • 33L. PerezM
  • 10M. MiljevicM
  • 32L. DiazF
  • 9Adrian MartinezF
  • 17T. ConechnyF
Substitutes
  • 30M. TagliamonteG
  • 18PachaD
  • 14J. BarinagaD
  • 43G. EscuderoD
  • 38M. MartinezD
  • 5M. KranevitterM
  • 11M. ZarachoM
  • 20G. A. LodicoM
  • 24A. FernandezM
Coach: Juan Vojvoda
Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1
  • 1L. IngolottiG
  • 24L. Di PlacidoD
  • 26C. D. Ferreira NamanduD
  • 36L. VallejoD
  • 21I. GalvanD
  • 19L. VegaM
  • 11R. TesuriM
  • 31L. GodoyM
  • 10N. FrancoM
  • 23N. LamendolaM
  • 9L. DiazF
Substitutes
  • 25T. DursoG
  • 6G. FerrariD
  • 3M. VillaD
  • 32J. InfanteD
  • 27R. GranilloF
  • 5J. FernandezM
  • 8E. HamM
  • 28G. CompagnucciD
  • 14A. CaneloF
Coach: Julio Falcioni

Form going into Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman

Racing Club

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Independiente Rivadavia31 August 2026
  • D1-1Boca Juniors24 August 2026
  • L0-1Banfield14 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors9 August 2026
  • L1-3Tigre1 August 2026

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Belgrano Cordoba30 August 2026
  • D0-0Instituto Cordoba22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto17 August 2026
  • L1-2Sarmiento Junin8 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Huracan4 August 2026

What these results say

  • Racing Club did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Racing Club conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Racing Club scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Atletico Tucuman failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Atletico Tucuman kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Atletico Tucuman had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Racing Club143381421-712
10Atletico Tucuman144551313017

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman

  • 4 March 2026Atletico Tucuman 0–3 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 1 September 2024Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 April 2023Racing Club 1–3 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 10 October 2022Racing Club 2–0 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 March 2022Atletico Tucuman 0–4 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman record →

The result against the call

Atletico Tucuman won 2–1 at Racing Club. The model had leaned towards a win for Racing Club at 39% and given a win for Atletico Tucuman 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: L. Godoy 24' for Atletico Tucuman, L. Perez 71' for Racing Club, R. Ruiz 90+3' for Atletico Tucuman. On expected goals it finished 1.45–2.33.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.