17 July 2026

Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 First League prediction & result

Full time2 – 2

Final score: Spartak Varna 2-2 CSKA 1948.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Spartak Varna, 28% draw, 25% CSKA 1948 — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Spartak Varna at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽G. Stojanovski
13'
19'
M. Boychev
⚽J. Tshitokuassist: G. Stojanovski
44'
46'
🔁F. Krebsout: B. Tsonev
46'
🔁H. Cuellarout: M. Zemzemi
46'
🔁E. Parkhomenkoout: A. Hoffmann
46'
🔁M. Boychevout: Frederic
51'
⚽M. Diallo (pen)
T. Marinov
52'
🔁T. Silvaout: D. Valverde
70'
🔁Jota Lopesout: R. Sousa
70'
77'
⚽Fredericassist: M. Diallo
🔁D. Yordanovout: B. Hanne
79'
🔁A. Ahmedovout: T. Chunchukov
79'
84'
•J. Martines
85'
🔁J. Martinesout: B. Dimitrov
T. Chunchukov
90'
🔁G. Stojanovskiout: G. Trifonov
90+8'

Line-ups

Spartak Varna 4-4-2
  • 23Plamen IlievG
  • 20Deyan LozevD
  • 45Joey TshitokuD
  • 44Angel GranchovD
  • 4Boris IvanovD
  • 82Tomás SilvaM
  • 8Damian YordanovM
  • 17Tsvetoslav MarinovM
  • 10Jota LopesM
  • 70Ahmed AhmedovF
  • 90Georg StojanovskiF
Substitutes
  • 76David Valverde JuanD
  • 6Ricardo SousaM
  • 9Tsvetelin ChunchukovF
  • 11Boubacar HanneF
  • 1Pedro VictorG
  • 39Georgi TrifonovF
  • 80Ángel Gomes ArevaloF
Coach: Gjoko Hadzievski
CSKA 1948 4-1-4-1
  • 1Petar MarinovG
  • 2Diego MedinaD
  • 3Lasha DvaliD
  • 6Egor ParkhomenkoD
  • 22Ognjen GaševićD
  • 33Héctor CuellarM
  • 17José MartínezF
  • 23Florian KrebsM
  • 19Marto BoychevM
  • 11Georgi RusevM
  • 93Mamadou DialloF
Substitutes
  • 4Andre HoffmannD
  • 67Frédéric MacielM
  • 11Moataz ZemzemiM
  • 10Borislav TsonevM
  • 18Boris DimitrovF
  • 13Dimitar SheytanovG
  • 70Kostadin IlievD
  • 14Kaloyan StrinskiM
  • 77Elias FrancoM

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Spartak Varna92431014-410
4CSKA 19489612179+819

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948

  • 17 July 2026Spartak Varna 2–2 CSKA 1948First League
  • 14 March 2026Spartak Varna 1–2 CSKA 1948First League
  • 4 October 2025CSKA 1948 1–1 Spartak VarnaFirst League
  • 29 November 2024Spartak Varna 1–1 CSKA 1948First League
  • 28 July 2024CSKA 1948 2–2 Spartak VarnaFirst League
  • 3 May 2023Spartak Varna 3–3 CSKA 1948First League

Leading scorers: Spartak Varna and CSKA 1948

Spartak Varna

No player in First League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

CSKA 1948

  • Frédéric Maciel1 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.