17 July 2026

Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 First League prediction & result

Full time2 – 2

Final score: Spartak Varna 2-2 CSKA 1948.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Spartak Varna, 28% draw, 25% CSKA 1948 — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Spartak Varna at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽G. Stojanovski
13'
19'
M. Boychev
⚽J. Tshitokuassist: G. Stojanovski
44'
46'
🔁F. Krebsout: B. Tsonev
46'
🔁H. Cuellarout: M. Zemzemi
46'
🔁E. Parkhomenkoout: A. Hoffmann
46'
🔁M. Boychevout: Frederic
51'
⚽M. Diallo (pen)
T. Marinov
52'
🔁T. Silvaout: D. Valverde
70'
🔁Jota Lopesout: R. Sousa
70'
77'
⚽Fredericassist: M. Diallo
🔁D. Yordanovout: B. Hanne
79'
🔁A. Ahmedovout: T. Chunchukov
79'
84'
•J. Martines
85'
🔁J. Martinesout: B. Dimitrov
T. Chunchukov
90'
🔁G. Stojanovskiout: G. Trifonov
90+8'

Line-ups

Spartak Varna 4-4-2
  • 23Plamen IlievG
  • 20Deyan LozevD
  • 45Joey TshitokuD
  • 44Angel GranchovD
  • 4Boris IvanovD
  • 82Tomás SilvaM
  • 8Damian YordanovM
  • 17Tsvetoslav MarinovM
  • 10Jota LopesM
  • 70Ahmed AhmedovF
  • 90Georg StojanovskiF
Substitutes
  • 76David Valverde JuanD
  • 6Ricardo SousaM
  • 9Tsvetelin ChunchukovF
  • 11Boubacar HanneF
  • 1Pedro VictorG
  • 39Georgi TrifonovF
  • 80Ángel Gomes ArevaloF
Coach: Gjoko Hadzievski
CSKA 1948 4-1-4-1
  • 1Petar MarinovG
  • 2Diego MedinaD
  • 3Lasha DvaliD
  • 6Egor ParkhomenkoD
  • 22Ognjen GaševićD
  • 33Héctor CuellarM
  • 17José MartínezF
  • 23Florian KrebsM
  • 19Marto BoychevM
  • 11Georgi RusevM
  • 93Mamadou DialloF
Substitutes
  • 4Andre HoffmannD
  • 67Frédéric MacielM
  • 11Moataz ZemzemiM
  • 10Borislav TsonevM
  • 18Boris DimitrovF
  • 13Dimitar SheytanovG
  • 70Kostadin IlievD
  • 14Kaloyan StrinskiM
  • 77Elias FrancoM

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Spartak Varna123451117-613
4CSKA 1948128132513+1225

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948

  • 14 March 2026Spartak Varna 1–2 CSKA 1948First League
  • 4 October 2025CSKA 1948 1–1 Spartak VarnaFirst League
  • 29 November 2024Spartak Varna 1–1 CSKA 1948First League
  • 28 July 2024CSKA 1948 2–2 Spartak VarnaFirst League
  • 3 May 2023Spartak Varna 3–3 CSKA 1948First League

Leading scorers: Spartak Varna and CSKA 1948

Spartak Varna

GoalsAssists

  • Georg Stojanovski11
  • J. Tshitoku10

CSKA 1948

GoalsAssists

  • Frédéric Maciel30
  • Elias Franco20
  • A. Iliev10

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.