Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Columbus Crew 2-1 Inter Miami.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Columbus Crew, 25% draw, 44% Inter Miami — fair odds of 3.23, 4.00 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Inter Miami at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
Line-ups
- 28P. SchulteG
- 3E. BaillyD
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 23M. FarsiM
- 16T. HabrouneM
- 7D. ChambostM
- 21A. ZarouryM
- 10Brais MéndezF
- 77Josef MartínezF
- 8S. RodríguezF
- 4R. CamachoD
- 24E. BushG
- 17S. BangouraM
- 19J. ThiaréF
- 2M. HerreraD
- 50T. KarumanchiM
- 26L. GiacconeM
- 11B. LennonD
- 12Cesar RuvalcabaD
- 34R. Ríos NovoG
- 2G. LujánD
- 5CasemiroD
- 16MicaelD
- 4F. MuraM
- 7R. De PaulM
- 42Y. BrightM
- 3ReguilónM
- 10L. MessiF
- 9L. SuárezF
- 56Daniel PinterF
- 47Idoh Zeltzer-ZubidaF
- 76Ezequiel Abadia-RedaD
- 22D. AyalaM
- 13L. BarrazaG
- 37M. FalcónD
- 11Riquelme FillipiF
- 20S. MoralesM
- 59P. PlambeckM
- 70D. SumallaD
Form going into Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
Columbus Crew
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to CF Montreal19 September 2026
- L0-1New York Red Bulls12 September 2026
- L1-2away to DC United9 September 2026
- W3-0Colorado Rapids5 September 2026
- L1-3New England Revolution30 August 2026
Inter Miami
All competitions we cover
- D2-2San Diego20 September 2026
- D2-2Nashville SC12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Chicago Fire10 September 2026
- D2-2Atlanta United FC5 September 2026
- W7-1CF Montreal29 August 2026
What these results say
- Columbus Crew scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Inter Miami went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Inter Miami scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Inter Miami conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52 | 49 | +3 | 41 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75 | 55 | +20 | 56 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
- 1 August 2026Inter Miami 2–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 31 May 2025Inter Miami 5–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 19 April 2025Columbus Crew 0–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 2 October 2024Columbus Crew 2–3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 13 August 2024Columbus Crew 3–2 Inter MiamiLeagues Cup
Leading scorers: Columbus Crew and Inter Miami
Columbus Crew
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 52 league goals as a side.
Inter Miami
GoalsAssists
- L. Messi2512
- L. Suárez156
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Columbus Crew beat Inter Miami 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Inter Miami at 44% and given a win for Columbus Crew 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Josef Martínez (penalty) 28' for Columbus Crew, Lionel Messi 33' for Inter Miami, Jamal Thiare 90+8' for Columbus Crew. Sent off: Santiago Morales (Inter Miami) 90+6'.
How the call on Columbus Crew v Inter Miami has moved
First published on 13 Sep at 33% / 29% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 31% / 25% / 44%: the biggest move is Inter Miami's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Columbus Crew win31%▼ −2
- Draw25%▼ −4
- Inter Miami win44%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.