Lokomotiv vs Dynamo Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Lokomotiv 0-1 Dynamo.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Lokomotiv, 28% draw, 36% Dynamo — fair odds of 2.78, 3.57 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lokomotiv at 36% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lokomotiv vs Dynamo
Line-ups
- 1A. MitryushkinG
- 45A. SilyanovD
- 23C. MontesD
- 14G. DzhikiyaD
- 3Lucas FassonD
- 6S. BabkinM
- 75I. EremeevM
- 47D. GodyaevM
- 19A. RudenkoM
- 11V. RakovF
- 9S. PinyaevF
- 22I. LantratovG
- 16D. VeselovG
- 24M. NenakhovD
- 59E. PogostnovD
- 85E. MorozovD
- 8A. KovalenkoM
- 88M. ShchetininM
- 74D. ChevardinD
- 17N. SaltykovM
- 1K. RasulovG
- 4J. CaceresD
- 55M. OsipenkoD
- 57David RicardoD
- 8RubensD
- 21A. MiranchukM
- 15D. GlebovM
- 10BitelloM
- 91Y. GladyshevF
- 33I. SergeevF
- 11Arthur GomesF
- 31I. LeshchukG
- 7D. SkopintsevD
- 56L. ZaydenzalD
- 6R. FernandezD
- 2N. MarichalD
- 24L. ChavezM
- 88V. OkishorM
- 60T. MarinkinM
- 17U. BabaevF
Form going into Lokomotiv vs Dynamo
Lokomotiv
- L2-3away to CSKA Moscow22 August 2026
Dynamo
- W3-1Rodina Moskva23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lokomotiv vs Dynamo
- 1 May 2026Lokomotiv 1–1 DynamoPremier League
- 4 October 2025Dynamo 3–5 LokomotivPremier League
- 15 March 2025Lokomotiv 2–1 DynamoPremier League
- 15 February 2025Lokomotiv 0–2 DynamoFriendlies Clubs
- 28 November 2024Lokomotiv 0–1 DynamoCup
- 5 November 2024Dynamo 1–2 LokomotivCup
Leading scorers: Lokomotiv and Dynamo
Lokomotiv
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Dynamo
- K. Tyukavin4 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.