FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Krasnodar 1-0 FC Rostov.
Before kick-off the model made it 75% FC Krasnodar, 16% draw, 9% FC Rostov — fair odds of 1.33, 6.25 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Krasnodar at 75% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 277 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov
Line-ups
- 1S. AgkatsevG
- 40I. VakhaniaD
- 3V. TormenaD
- 5Jubal JuniorD
- 15L. OlazaD
- 53A. ChernikovM
- 8Douglas AugustoM
- 18ChristianM
- 10D. VorobyevM
- 23J. BoselliM
- 9J. CordobaF
- 16A. KoryakinG
- 98S. PetrovD
- 2V. StezhkoD
- 4Diego CostaD
- 17V. PaltsevD
- 59A. KhmarinD
- 21M. OzdoevM
- 47D. UtkinM
- 6K. LeniniM
- 84A. PetrovG
- 4V. MelekhinD
- 3O. SakoD
- 40Ygor NogueiraD
- 87A. LangovichD
- 5Y. MikhailovM
- 8A. MironovM
- 18K. KuchaevM
- 10I. KomarovF
- 99T. SuleymanovF
- 6O. OlusegunF
- 34D. A. GolikovG
- 22D. SemenchukD
- 27D. ProkhinD
- 16M. MukhinM
- 21D. ShantaliyM
- 80K. MadrakhimovF
- 17E. GolenkovF
- 91A. ShamoninF
- 11I. M. AjasaF
Form going into FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
- W1-0away to Dinamo Makhachkala23 August 2026
FC Rostov
- L1-4away to Akhmat22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov
- 11 July 2026FC Krasnodar 3–3 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs
- 28 February 2026FC Krasnodar 2–1 FC RostovPremier League
- 27 September 2025FC Rostov 0–0 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- 16 March 2025FC Rostov 0–1 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- 14 September 2024FC Krasnodar 2–0 FC RostovPremier League
- 6 July 2024FC Krasnodar 3–2 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: FC Krasnodar and FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
- N. Krivtsov3 goals1 assist
- Jubal3 goals
FC Rostov
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.