LNZ Cherkasy
vs
Kudrivka
Premier League prediction
Our model says: LNZ Cherkasy 2–0 Kudrivka
The model makes it 55% LNZ Cherkasy, 26% draw, 19% Kudrivka — fair odds of 1.82, 3.85 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (13%).
Expected goals: LNZ Cherkasy 2.08, Kudrivka 0.75.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
Key facts
- LNZ Cherkasy are 7th on 8 points from 7 games; Kudrivka are bottom on 2 points from 6 games — Premier League.
- LNZ Cherkasy have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Shakhtar Donetsk.
- Kudrivka have not won in their last 5, most recently a 2-3 defeat at home to Kolos Kovalivka.
- Last 3 meetings: LNZ Cherkasy 2 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 18 May 2026, ended Kudrivka 1–0 LNZ Cherkasy.
All Ukrainian Premier League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka
Has the model earned this number?
It puts LNZ Cherkasy at 55% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka
LNZ Cherkasy
- L0-3away to Shakhtar Donetsk20 September 2026
- W3-1Obolon'-Brovar12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Dynamo Kyiv6 September 2026
- L0-1Veres Rivne30 August 2026
- W2-0Chornomorets16 August 2026
Kudrivka
- L2-3Kolos Kovalivka20 September 2026
- L1-5away to Polessya4 September 2026
- L0-3Epitsentr Dunayivtsi29 August 2026
- D0-0Obolon'-Brovar15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Livyi Bereh8 August 2026
What these results say
- Kudrivka did not win any of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Kudrivka | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka
- 18 May 2026Kudrivka 1–0 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
- 29 November 2025LNZ Cherkasy 1–0 KudrivkaPremier League
- 25 July 2025Kudrivka 1–2 LNZ CherkasyFriendlies Clubs
The two sides
LNZ Cherkasy carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.12 for Kudrivka. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.08 goals for LNZ Cherkasy and 0.75 for Kudrivka. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
LNZ Cherkasy rate 0.57 in attack and 1.20 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Kudrivka rate 0.52 and 2.24.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives LNZ Cherkasy the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.08 expected goals for LNZ Cherkasy against 0.75 for Kudrivka. LNZ Cherkasy's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.52/2.24 for Kudrivka.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
LNZ Cherkasy at home · Kudrivka away
League matches only, Premier League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: LNZ Cherkasy 7, Kudrivka 6.
Kudrivka score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); LNZ Cherkasy have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
LNZ Cherkasy
- at Kryvbas KR17 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 34%
- at Livyi Bereh24 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 29%
- vs FC Kharkiv31 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 32%
- at Zorya Luhansk7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 33%
- vs Polessya21 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 31%
Kudrivka
- vs Bukovyna17 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 33%
- at Dynamo Kyiv24 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 13%
- at Karpaty31 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 14%
- vs Chornomorets7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 36%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.