17 July 2026

Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse First League prediction & result

Full time2 – 1

Final score: Levski Sofia 2-1 Dunav Ruse.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Levski Sofia, 20% draw, 23% Dunav Ruse — fair odds of 1.75, 5.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Levski Sofia at 57% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽K. Dimitrovassist: D. Kusso
22'
🔁D. Kussoout: Serginho
61'
🔁J. Pereaout: A. Centelles
61'
🔁A. Oko-Flexout: Reinaldo
61'
Reinaldo
64'
⚽A. Bourasassist: Everton Bala
70'
74'
🔁A. Valinoout: I. Keita
74'
🔁S. Gavrilovout: V. Vidakovic
75'
🔁G. Kitanovout: P. Pepelyashev
78'
🔁I. Budinovout: A. Alves
🔁A. Bourasout: M. Soula
79'
85'
⚽D. Minchevassist: R. Apostolov
🔁Everton Balaout: S. Stoyanchov
87'

Line-ups

Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 1Ognyan VladimirovG
  • 21AldairD
  • 50Kristian DimitrovD
  • 4Christian MakounD
  • 3MaiconD
  • 19El Mehdi MoubarikM
  • 47Akram BourasM
  • 27David KussoM
  • 17Everton BalaM
  • 11Armstrong Oko-FlexM
  • 9Juan PereaF
Substitutes
  • 20Álex CentellesD
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 7ReinaldoF
  • 22Mazire SoulaM
  • 28Steven StoyanchovF
  • 78Martin LukovG
  • 92Svetoslav VutsovG
  • 71Oliver KamdemD
  • 31Nikola SerafimovD
Coach: Julio Velazquez
Dunav Ruse 4-2-3-1
  • 33Georgi KitanovG
  • 2Mario Ivanov DilchovskiD
  • 5Kyriakos AntoniouM
  • 4Jose CabarcasD
  • 88Dimitar TodorovD
  • 24Stefan GavrilovM
  • 14Radoslav ApostolovM
  • 51Ilker BudinovD
  • 10Kristiyan BoychevM
  • 11Denislav MinchevF
  • 9Alexander Valino Navasal
Substitutes
  • 13Vladan VidakovićM
  • 18Ibrahim KeitaF
  • 69Plamen PepelyashevG
  • 39Andre AlvesD
  • 22Stojan PredevD
  • 6Stanislav YovkovD
  • 19Stefan StefanovM
  • 77Aleksandar SimeonovF
  • 45Aleksandar DonevF
Coach: Emanuel Lukanov

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Levski Sofia9810214+1725
14Dunav Ruse9117817-94

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse

  • 17 July 2026Levski Sofia 2–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
  • 14 December 2024Levski Sofia 1–0 Dunav RuseCup
  • 22 November 2023Dunav Ruse 1–3 Levski SofiaCup
  • 31 October 2019Levski Sofia 2–0 Dunav RuseFirst League
  • 15 July 2019Dunav Ruse 1–4 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 1 December 2018Levski Sofia 3–0 Dunav RuseFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.