17 July 2026

FCSB vs Arges Pitesti Liga I prediction & result

Full time2 – 0

Final score: FCSB 2-0 Arges Pitesti.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% FCSB, 29% draw, 22% Arges Pitesti — fair odds of 2.04, 3.45 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FCSB at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
Leard Sadriu
⚽D. Birligeaassist: O. Popescu
19'
Ricardo Pădurariu
34'
Octavian Popescu
35'
⚽F. Tanase (pen)
45'
🔁D. Politicout: M. Toma
46'
46'
🔁D. Oanceaout: R. Moldoveanu
46'
🔁X. Emmersout: P. Dulcea
46'
🔁C. Micovschiout: M. Idowu
🔁F. Tanaseout: A. Stoian
80'
81'
🔁Y. Pirvuout: S. Balaure
81'
🔁R. Matosout: I. Radescu
🔁R. Padurariuout: R. Labonne
89'
🔁O. Popescuout: D. Popa
90'

Match stats — FCSB vs Arges Pitesti

44%Possession56%
12Shots21
5On target6
7Corners5
1.89xG1.45

Goals against chances

FCSB2 from 1.89 xGabout what the chances were worth
Arges Pitesti0 from 1.45 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FCSB 4-2-3-1
  • 32S. TarnovanuG
  • 2V. CretuD
  • 5J. DawaD
  • 3A. DuarteD
  • 4R. PadurariuD
  • 31J. CisottiM
  • 33R. RadunovicM
  • 20D. PoliticM
  • 10F. TanaseM
  • 7O. PopescuM
  • 9D. BirligeaF
Substitutes
  • 34M. UdreaG
  • 13M. PopaG
  • 98D. PopaF
  • 6A. DancusD
  • 97R. LabonneD
  • 90A. StoianF
  • 22M. TomaM
  • 19D. AvramF
Coach: Marius Baciu
Arges Pitesti 4-2-3-1
  • 34C. CabuzG
  • 26D. OanceaD
  • 6M. TudoseD
  • 3L. SadriuD
  • 23F. BortaD
  • 27R. Sierra
  • 22V. RataM
  • 11Y. PirvuM
  • 80X. EmmersM
  • 19C. MicovschiM
  • 17R. MatosF
Substitutes
  • 1C. StratonG
  • 31M. SerbanG
  • 96S. BalaureM
  • 99R. MoldoveanuF
  • 4E. AntoniouD
  • 20P. DulceaM
  • 8E. CoteaM
  • 16I. RadescuM
  • 2C. TofanD
Coach: Ioan Andone Bogdan

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7FCSB93331312+112
10Arges Pitesti932457-211

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FCSB vs Arges Pitesti

  • 17 July 2026FCSB 2–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 16 January 2026Arges Pitesti 1–0 FCSBLiga I
  • 24 August 2025FCSB 0–2 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 26 February 2023Arges Pitesti 1–2 FCSBLiga I
  • 2 October 2022FCSB 3–2 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 2 May 2022FCSB 4–0 Arges PitestiLiga I

Leading scorers: FCSB and Arges Pitesti

FCSB

  • D. Bîrligea3 goals

Arges Pitesti

  • R. Moldoveanu3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.