Levante
vs
Real Betis
La Liga prediction
The model makes it 59% Levante, 19% draw, 22% Real Betis — fair odds of 1.69, 5.26 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Levante 2.52, Real Betis 1.53.
Both teams to score: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Levante vs Real Betis
- 23 May 2026Real Betis 2–1 LevanteLa Liga
- 14 September 2025Levante 2–2 Real BetisLa Liga
- 13 February 2022Levante 2–4 Real BetisLa Liga
- 28 November 2021Real Betis 3–1 LevanteLa Liga
- 19 March 2021Real Betis 2–0 LevanteLa Liga
- 29 December 2020Levante 4–3 Real BetisLa Liga
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Levante carry a model rating of 7 against 6.9 for Real Betis. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.52 goals for Levante and 1.53 for Real Betis. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Levante rate 1.27 in attack and 0.94 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Real Betis rate 1.16 and 1.05.
That points to 77% for over two and a half goals and 72% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Levante the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.52 expected goals for Levante against 1.53 for Real Betis. Levante's attack/defence rating is 1.27/0.94 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.16/1.05 for Real Betis.