18 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Laval vs Sochaux Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Laval 1-1 Sochaux.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Laval, 30% draw, 32% Sochaux — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Laval at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Laval4%Draw93%Sochaux3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Yanis Court
4'
🔁Ababacar Moustapha Loout: William Bianda
38'
Ethan Clavreul
63'
🔁Yanis Courtout: Cyril Mandouki
63'
64'
🔁Louicius Deedsonout: Kapitbafan Djoco
64'
🔁Mathis Clairiciaout: Landry Nomel
William Bianda
67'
71'
Benjamin Gomel
🔁Joseph Sambout: Jules Gaudin
76'
🔁Aboubakary Kanteout: C. Gourichy
77'
🔁Alessio Beaudouinout: Alpha Diallo
77'
78'
🔁Benjamin Gomelout: Boubacar Fofana
78'
🔁Yohan Demoncyout: Samy Baghdadi
79'
⚽Samy Baghdadi
⚽Sam Sannaassist: Esteban Mouton
83'
Esteban Mouton
88'
90'
🔁Bakary Diawaraout: Jonathan Mexique
Mathys Houdayer
90+4'

Match stats — Laval vs Sochaux

58%Possession42%
21Shots10
6On target3
6Corners3

Line-ups

Laval 4-3-1-2
  • 30M. SamassaG
  • 23E. MoutonD
  • 24S. BaneD
  • 18A. LôD
  • 35Joseph SambD
  • 6S. SannaM
  • 21Alessio BeaudouinM
  • 32Y. CourtM
  • 31M. HoudayerM
  • 28A. KantéF
  • 20E. ClavreulF
Substitutes
  • 3W. BiandaD
  • 27Alpha DialloM
  • 22J. GaudinD
  • 7C. GourichyM
  • 1M. HautboisG
  • 5J. MaggiottiM
  • 14C. MandoukiM
  • 33S. MellierM
  • 29M. SidibeM
Coach: David Vignes
Sochaux 4-2-3-1
  • 40M. JeanninG
  • 17B. YoussoufD
  • 14M. PeybernesD
  • 26E. N'GattaD
  • 42Dylan TavaresD
  • 21B. DiawaraM
  • 24Y. DemoncyM
  • 11L. DeedsonM
  • 19V. LobryM
  • 7B. GomelM
  • 91M. ClairiciaF
Substitutes
  • 4A. VitelliD
  • 97S. AgouzoulD
  • 5S. BaghdadiF
  • 9K. DjocoF
  • 10B. FofanaF
  • 3D. GomisD
  • 15J. MexiqueM
  • 77L. NomelF
  • 30A. PierreG
Coach: Vincent Hognon

Form going into Laval vs Sochaux

Laval

Ligue 2

  • L2-3away to Dijon11 September 2026

Sochaux

Ligue 2

  • W1-0Nantes12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Laval101361321-86
12Sochaux10253812-411

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Laval vs Sochaux

  • 22 April 2023Laval 2–1 SochauxLigue 2
  • 2 September 2022Sochaux 4–1 LavalLigue 2
  • 17 February 2017Sochaux 1–1 LavalLigue 2
  • 20 September 2016Laval 1–1 SochauxLigue 2
  • 8 April 2016Laval 1–2 SochauxLigue 2
  • 24 November 2015Sochaux 0–0 LavalLigue 2

Leading scorers: Laval and Sochaux

Laval

GoalsAssists

  • M. Houdayer30

Sochaux

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Laval and Sochaux drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Laval at 38% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Samy Baghdadi 79' for Sochaux, Sam Sanna 83' for Laval.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.