Annecy vs Dijon Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Annecy 1-2 Dijon.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Annecy, 28% draw, 31% Dijon — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Annecy at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Annecy vs Dijon
Line-ups
- 1F. EscalesG
- 41T. DelphisD
- 23M. VeillonD
- 26A. Do MarcolinoD
- 27J. KouadioD
- 22C. BillemazM
- 5A. KashiM
- 25P. VenotM
- 12K. YoungF
- 9T. RambaudF
- 14M. KonéF
- 8A. CasadeiM
- 16T. CallensG
- 80M. SahiF
- 28A. LaroseF
- 15P. MozieM
- 32David OduroD
- 33Gabin SecrétantD
- 19K. VeniereM
- 16P. DelecroixG
- 7B. HamadaD
- 23L. LacroixD
- 5Q. BernardD
- 31M. FatyD
- 14J. MariéM
- 21Samy Olivier ChouchaneM
- 4M. BarretoM
- 18B. NdeziM
- 9T. DongF
- 90A. LagoF
- 6W. DioufD
- 75Boubacar DialloD
- 93I. BouleghchaD
- 8P. BellonM
- 17A. LembezatM
- 46Ilan Marie-RoseG
- 29A. NtamackF
- 11Júlio TavaresF
- 20H. Vargas-RíosM
Form going into Annecy vs Dijon
Annecy
Ligue 2
- L1-2away to Guingamp12 September 2026
Dijon
Ligue 2
- W3-2Laval11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Annecy vs Dijon
- 3 August 2024Dijon 1–1 AnnecyFriendlies Clubs
- 6 January 2024Annecy 1–5 DijonFriendlies Clubs
- 29 July 2023Dijon 4–1 AnnecyFriendlies Clubs
- 6 May 2023Annecy 1–1 DijonLigue 2
- 30 August 2022Dijon 0–2 AnnecyLigue 2
- 16 July 2022Annecy 1–1 DijonFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Annecy and Dijon
Annecy
GoalsAssists
- M. Sahi50
- T. Rambaud30
Dijon
GoalsAssists
- Júlio Tavares41
- Samy Olivier Chouchane30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dijon won 2–1 at Annecy. The model had leaned towards a win for Annecy at 41% and given a win for Dijon 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Clement Billemaz 41' for Annecy, Júlio Tavares 77' for Dijon, Júlio Tavares 82' for Dijon.
How the call on Annecy v Dijon has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Annecy's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Annecy win41%▲ +3
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Dijon win31%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.