25 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Lask Linz vs Celtic UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Full time5 – 1

Final score: Lask Linz 5-1 Celtic.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Lask Linz, 23% draw, 36% Celtic — fair odds of 2.44, 4.35 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League Play-offs tie. First leg: Celtic 3–0 Lask Linz (19 Aug) →

Lask Linz went through 5–4 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Lask Linz at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lask Linz99%Draw1%Celtic0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
⚽C. McGregorassist: Yang Hyun-Jun
⚽M. Usor
32'
⚽R. Ljubicicassist: M. Usor
48'
⚽S. Adeniranassist: S. Horvath
58'
63'
🔁B. Nygrenout: R. Hatate
63'
🔁Yang Hyun-Junout: S. Tounekti
71'
🔁K. Tierneyout: L. Scales
71'
🔁M. Baurout: L. McCowan
Moses Usor
74'
74'
🔁C. Donovanout: D. Murray
🔁R. Ljubicicout: A. Schopf
81'
🔁K. P. Molgaard Jorgensenout: F. Flecker
86'
Alemão
90+3'
⚽F. Flecker
90'
91'
🔁C. Carter-Vickersout: A. Ralston
🔁S. Horvathout: M. Freckleton
99'
🔁J. Tornichout: K. Danek
99'
🔁M. Usorout: C. Lang
99'
🔁out: Y. Dibango
100'
103'
Luke McCowan
⚽S. Adeniranassist: K. Danek
109'
⚽Samuel Adeniran (pen)
115'

Match stats — Lask Linz vs Celtic

49%Possession51%
40Shots8
8On target3
10Corners5

Line-ups

Lask Linz 3-5-2
  • 1L. JungwirthG
  • 4X. MbuyambaD
  • 43J. TornichD
  • 16A. AndradeD
  • 20K. P. Molgaard JorgensenM
  • 10R. LjubicicM
  • 6M. BogardeM
  • 30S. HorvathM
  • 2G. BelloM
  • 8M. UsorF
  • 7S. AdeniranF
Substitutes
  • 33T. SchutzenauerG
  • 50F. SchillingerG
  • 25Y. DibangoD
  • 3M. FreckletonD
  • 21M. Verhaeghe
  • 29F. FleckerF
  • 9K. DanekM
  • 27C. LangF
  • 18A. SchopfM
Coach: Dietmar Kuhbauer
Celtic 4-2-3-1
  • 1V. SinisaloG
  • 51C. DonovanD
  • 20C. Carter-VickersD
  • 6A. TrustyD
  • 63K. TierneyD
  • 42C. McGregorM
  • 22M. BaurM
  • 11C. DuranM
  • 8B. NygrenM
  • 13Yang Hyun-JunM
  • 9K. HoghF
Substitutes
  • 31R. DoohanG
  • 56A. RalstonD
  • 5L. ScalesD
  • 47D. MurrayD
  • 41R. HatateM
  • 19C. OsmandF
  • 49J. ForrestM
  • 17S. TounektiF
  • 24J. KennyF
Coach: Martin O'Neill

Form going into Lask Linz vs Celtic

Lask Linz

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Celtic19 August 2026
  • W4-1Ried14 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Austria Vienna9 August 2026
  • W3-0Grazer AK31 July 2026

Celtic

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Lask Linz19 August 2026
  • W5-1away to Kilmarnock9 August 2026
  • W1-0Dundee3 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Lask Linz vs Celtic

  • 19 August 2026Celtic 3–0 Lask LinzUEFA Champions League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

The result against the call

Lask Linz beat Celtic 5–1. The model had made a win for Lask Linz its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: C. McGregor 21' for Celtic, M. Usor 32' for Lask Linz, R. Ljubicic 48' for Lask Linz, S. Adeniran 58' for Lask Linz, F. Flecker 90' for Lask Linz, S. Adeniran 109' for Lask Linz.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.