25 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Kruger United vs Durban City Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Mbombela Stadium, Mbombela
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Kruger United 0-2 Durban City.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Kruger United, 26% draw, 48% Durban City — fair odds of 3.85, 3.85 and 2.08.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Durban City at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kruger United0%Draw1%Durban City99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽J. Lwamba
Ntsako Makhubela
23'
Ebrahim Seedat
28'
43'
Gastón Sirino
Kwanda Mngonyama
45+1'
50'
⚽G. Sirino
59'
🔁K. Jurgensout: E. Brooks
62'
🔁G. Sirinoout: L. Sifumba
63'
🔁L. de Kockout: S. Ncanana
🔁E. Seedatout: T. Tavengwa
64'
Sidney Fakude
77'
🔁A. Mphotheout: W. Makhubu
77'
🔁K. Mngonyamaout: M. Zwane
77'
79'
🔁S. Masekoout: H. Domingo
79'
🔁J. Lwambaout: T. Morris
88'
Siphamandla Ncanana
🔁K. Ndlovuout: T. Sibanyoni
90'

Match stats — Kruger United vs Durban City

53%Possession47%
14Shots11
4On target6
13Corners2
1.33xG1.88

Goals against chances

Kruger United0 from 1.33 xGless than the chances were worth
Durban City2 from 1.88 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Kruger United 4-3-1-2
  • 1F. NtwariG
  • 29S. FakudeD
  • 4S. SibiyaD
  • 26K. MohammeD
  • 13E. SeedatD
  • 12B. MalatjieM
  • 45K. MngonyamaM
  • 8M. NelM
  • 10N. MakhubelaM
  • 22K. NdlovuF
  • 50A. MphotheF
Substitutes
  • 16M. DandjinouG
  • 35M. MatimaM
  • 5T. Ndlela
  • 44T. TavengwaM
  • 28OzilM
  • 47H. SereetsM
  • 38S. MahlanguM
  • 9W. MakhubuF
  • 7M. ZwaneM
Coach: Abraham Mongoya
Durban City 4-2-3-1
  • 33F. AsareG
  • 2B. ShanduD
  • 27S. MsomiD
  • 22L. de KockD
  • 24J. MokoneD
  • 18B. PoggenpoelM
  • 23T. SangerM
  • 10S. MasekoM
  • 17K. Jurgens
  • 8G. SirinoM
  • 20J. LwambaF
Substitutes
  • 34A. Dreyer
  • 5S. NcananaD
  • 12K. MofokengD
  • 7H. DomingoM
  • 28E. BrooksM
  • 35L. SifumbaM
  • 29A. DoumbiaM
  • 40J. PapierF
  • 9T. MorrisF
Coach: Khalil Ben Youssef

Form going into Kruger United vs Durban City

Kruger United

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Milford FC15 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Marumo Gallants11 August 2026

Durban City

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Richards Bay15 August 2026
  • D0-0Golden Arrows12 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Kruger United9315713-610
13Durban City9144611-57

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kruger United vs Durban City

  • 31 January 2025Durban City 1–0 Kruger United1st Division
  • 1 September 2024Kruger United 1–2 Durban City1st Division

The result against the call

Durban City won 2–0 at Kruger United. The model had made a win for Durban City its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: J. Lwamba 7' for Durban City, G. Sirino 50' for Durban City. On expected goals it finished 1.33–1.88.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.