AC Oulu vs Inter Turku Finnish Premier League prediction & result
Final score: AC Oulu 2-3 Inter Turku.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% AC Oulu, 22% draw, 18% Inter Turku — fair odds of 1.67, 4.55 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
AC Oulu at 60%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 13M. SantosG
- 16O. KemppainenD
- 3A. LietsaD
- 66J. PirinenD
- 22T. KaukuaM
- 21I. MendolinM
- 25M. ArsaloM
- 14N. JokelainenM
- 7R. KarjalainenM
- 18A. CassamaM
- 10C. TrianaF
- 99N. SchulzG
- 29S. SilanderD
- 5M. PitkanenD
- 2S. SipolaD
- 8M. OjalaM
- 6J. PaananenM
- 27E. KallioM
- 11L. GhezaliM
- 32A. Kone
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 5A. GranlundD
- 26V. Huovila
- 21I. Kangasniemi
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 19I. JarvinenM
- 4P. AhiabuM
- 35E. KiiskilaM
- 23L. Essomba
- 34L. ProkopF
- 28L. LaineM
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 30Y. AmankwahD
- 18S. SaarinenD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 3J. HamalainenD
- 14J. LaineM
- 8J. Yli-KokkoM
- 17B. AmpofoM
- 9J. TuominenM
Form going into AC Oulu vs Inter Turku
AC Oulu
All competitions we cover
- L0-1HJK Helsinki9 August 2026
Inter Turku
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to FC Vaduz13 August 2026
- D0-0Lahti9 August 2026
- W2-1FC Vaduz6 August 2026
- W2-0Başakşehir30 July 2026
- D1-1away to Başakşehir22 July 2026
What these results say
- Inter Turku went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Inter Turku scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Finnish Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Oulu | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 48 |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 27 | +16 | 61 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AC Oulu vs Inter Turku
- 13 June 2026Inter Turku 0–0 AC OuluFinnish Premier League
- 21 March 2026Inter Turku 2–1 AC OuluLeague Cup
- 8 August 2025Inter Turku 3–2 AC OuluFinnish Premier League
- 26 April 2025AC Oulu 1–4 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
- 24 September 2024AC Oulu 1–0 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
Leading scorers: AC Oulu and Inter Turku
AC Oulu
GoalsAssists
- R. Karjalainen56
Inter Turku
GoalsAssists
- H. Sjögrell82
- Alie Conteh40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Inter Turku won 3–2 at AC Oulu. The model had leaned towards a win for AC Oulu at 60% and given a win for Inter Turku 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: R. Karjalainen 30' for AC Oulu, R. Karjalainen 36' for AC Oulu, A. Conteh 53' for Inter Turku, A. Conteh 61' for Inter Turku, P. Ahiabu 84' for Inter Turku.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.