Kristiansund BK vs Start Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Kristiansund BK 1-2 Start.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Kristiansund BK, 28% draw, 40% Start — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Start at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kristiansund BK vs Start
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Michael LansingG
- 13Alexander MunksgaardD
- 4Julius Mar JuliussonD
- 5Dan Peter UlvestadD
- 6Jesper IsaksenD
- 10Heine Gikling BrusethM
- 14Syver Skundberg SkeideM
- 20Wilfred George IgorM
- 9Sander Hestetun KilenM
- 27Adrian Kurd RønningF
- 19Leander AlvheimF
- 8Niklas OdegardM
- 22Haakon HaugenD
- 23Tobias Hammer SvendsenM
- 17Max Normann WilliamsenD
- 77Hrannar Snær MagnússonM
- 12Adrian SætherG
- 31Herman OpsahlM
- 38Aksel Nordvik BrattoyM
- 39Nikolai FinsetF
- 1Jacob PrytsG
- 29Erlend Dahl ReitanD
- 6John Olav NorheimD
- 28Jens Berland HusebøD
- 27Ousmane Diallo ToureM
- 23Erlend SegbergM
- 11Eirik SchulzeM
- 16Tom StrannegårdM
- 10Steve MvouéF
- 17Jesper CorneliusF
- 22James AmpofoF
- 20Hakon LorentzenF
- 12Deni DashaevD
- 3Altin UjkaniD
- 39Dennis BirkenesG
- 2Fredrik PalerudD
- 30Lukas Hjelleset GausdalM
- 14Markus SoometsM
Form going into Kristiansund BK vs Start
Kristiansund BK
- D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF18 July 2026
Start
- L0-3Rosenborg18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kristiansund BK vs Start
- 25 July 2026Kristiansund BK 1–2 StartEliteserien
- 5 August 2023Kristiansund BK 1–1 Start1. Division
- 16 April 2023Start 4–0 Kristiansund BK1. Division
- 20 September 2020Start 1–2 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 9 August 2020Kristiansund BK 3–2 StartEliteserien
- 2 September 2018Kristiansund BK 1–1 StartEliteserien
Leading scorers: Kristiansund BK and Start
Kristiansund BK
- L. Alvheim10 goals
Start
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 22 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.