Kristiansund BK vs Start Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Kristiansund BK 1-2 Start.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Kristiansund BK, 28% draw, 40% Start — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Start at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kristiansund BK vs Start
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Michael LansingG
- 13Alexander MunksgaardD
- 4Julius Mar JuliussonD
- 5Dan Peter UlvestadD
- 6Jesper IsaksenD
- 10Heine Gikling BrusethM
- 14Syver Skundberg SkeideM
- 20Wilfred George IgorM
- 9Sander Hestetun KilenM
- 27Adrian Kurd RønningF
- 19Leander AlvheimF
- 8Niklas OdegardM
- 22Haakon HaugenD
- 23Tobias Hammer SvendsenM
- 17Max Normann WilliamsenD
- 77Hrannar Snær MagnússonM
- 12Adrian SætherG
- 31Herman OpsahlM
- 38Aksel Nordvik BrattoyM
- 39Nikolai FinsetF
- 1Jacob PrytsG
- 29Erlend Dahl ReitanD
- 6John Olav NorheimD
- 28Jens Berland HusebøD
- 27Ousmane Diallo ToureM
- 23Erlend SegbergM
- 11Eirik SchulzeM
- 16Tom StrannegårdM
- 10Steve MvouéF
- 17Jesper CorneliusF
- 22James AmpofoF
- 20Hakon LorentzenF
- 12Deni DashaevD
- 3Altin UjkaniD
- 39Dennis BirkenesG
- 2Fredrik PalerudD
- 30Lukas Hjelleset GausdalM
- 14Markus SoometsM
Form going into Kristiansund BK vs Start
Kristiansund BK
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF18 July 2026
Start
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Rosenborg18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
| 16 | Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kristiansund BK vs Start
- 5 August 2023Kristiansund BK 1–1 Start1. Division
- 16 April 2023Start 4–0 Kristiansund BK1. Division
- 20 September 2020Start 1–2 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 9 August 2020Kristiansund BK 3–2 StartEliteserien
- 2 September 2018Kristiansund BK 1–1 StartEliteserien
Leading scorers: Kristiansund BK and Start
Kristiansund BK
GoalsAssists
- L. Alvheim120
Start
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Start won 2–1 at Kristiansund BK. The model had made a win for Start its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: S. Kilen 15' for Kristiansund BK, E. Segberg 25' for Start, T. Strannegard 90+1' for Start. Sent off: J. Juliusson (Kristiansund BK) 73'. On expected goals it finished 0.41–1.72.