Konyaspor vs Başakşehir Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Konyaspor 0-0 Başakşehir.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Konyaspor, 27% draw, 43% Başakşehir — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Başakşehir at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Konyaspor vs Başakşehir
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Bahadır Han GüngördüG
- 5Uğurcan YazğılıD
- 22Rayyan BaniyaD
- 4Adil DemirbağD
- 26Arthur MasuakuD
- 8Marko JevtovićM
- 77Melih İbrahimoğluM
- 9Deniz TürüçM
- 66Rajmund TóthM
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 11Jackson MulekaF
- 15Chidozie AwaziemD
- 10Enis BardhiM
- 42Mostafa MohamedF
- 19Ebrima ColleyF
- 1Deniz ErtaşG
- 17Yhoan AndzouanaD
- 2Ahmet OğuzD
- 41Da MataD
- 3Arif BoşlukD
- 16Muhammed ŞengezerG
- 33Michał KarbownikD
- 23Emin BayramD
- 27Ousseynou BaD
- 38Saba KharebashviliD
- 8Olivier KemenM
- 20Umut GüneşM
- 70Andreas Skov OlsenM
- 14Eldor ShomurodovM
- 77Ivan BrnićM
- 91Bertuğ YıldırımF
- 15Hamza GürelerD
- 42Ömer Ali ŞahinerM
- 7Yusuf SarıF
- 11Abbosbek FayzullaevM
- 18Jakub KałuzińskiM
- 98Deniz DilmenG
- 6Onur BulutD
- 4Onur ErgünM
- 19Berkay ÖzcanM
Form going into Konyaspor vs Başakşehir
Konyaspor
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Kasımpaşa18 September 2026
- W1-0Trabzonspor12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Erzurumspor FK5 September 2026
- L1-2Kocaelispor29 August 2026
- L2-4away to Fenerbahçe22 August 2026
Başakşehir
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.19 September 2026
- L0-5away to Amed13 September 2026
- L2-3Galatasaray4 September 2026
- D1-1Kasımpaşa30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Trabzonspor23 August 2026
What these results say
- Konyaspor failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Başakşehir failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Başakşehir scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Başakşehir conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Konyaspor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 8 |
| 8 | Başakşehir | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Başakşehir
- 27 February 2026Başakşehir 2–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 28 September 2025Konyaspor 2–1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 5 April 2025Başakşehir 1–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 3 November 2024Konyaspor 3–2 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 28 January 2024Konyaspor 2–3 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Konyaspor and Başakşehir
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Başakşehir
GoalsAssists
- E. Shomurodov81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Konyaspor and Başakşehir drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Başakşehir at 43% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.42–1.08.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Konyaspor a 28.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 22.4% after a win, 28.9% after a draw, 32.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 28.9%.
For Başakşehir the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 21.1% going in: 25.0% after a win, 18.8% after a draw, 15.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 18.8%, 2.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Süper Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Konyaspor v Başakşehir has moved
First published on 27 Sep at 30% / 29% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 30% / 27% / 43%: the biggest move is Başakşehir's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Konyaspor win30%=
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Başakşehir win43%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.