CSKA Moscow
vs
FC Rostov
Premier League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA Moscow 0-0 FC Rostov.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% CSKA Moscow, 20% draw, 20% FC Rostov — fair odds of 1.67, 5.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: CSKA Moscow 2.38, FC Rostov 1.32.
Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
CSKA Moscow
- D1-1Krylia Sovetov1 August 2026
- W2-1Baltika24 July 2026
FC Rostov
- W4-2away to Rodina Moskva31 July 2026
- L1-2away to FC Orenburg26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Rostov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
CSKA Moscow
No league goals recorded yet.
FC Rostov
- A. Langovich1 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CSKA Moscow the highest probability at 60%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.38 expected goals for CSKA Moscow against 1.32 for FC Rostov. CSKA Moscow's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.62 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.75 for FC Rostov.