Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Hertha BSC.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Dynamo Dresden, 28% draw, 31% Hertha BSC — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dynamo Dresden at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC
Line-ups
- 1T. SchreiberG
- 44S. StraudiD
- 34T. NeiningerD
- 17A. MuhamedbegovićD
- 19A. RossipalD
- 18R. WagnerM
- 6N. RappM
- 24P. ČovićM
- 27N. HauptmannM
- 20B. BobzienM
- 9V. VermeijF
- 40E. BethkeG
- 33C. DafernerF
- 16N. FrölingF
- 11K. InanogluF
- 10J. LemmerM
- 42F. MullerD
- 7K. OkpalaF
- 21T. RaschlM
- 32J. SternerD
- 35M. GersbeckG
- 2J. EitschbergerD
- 44L. GechterD
- 27N. KolbeD
- 22M. PedersenD
- 19O. AdewumiM
- 8K. SessaM
- 30P. SeguinM
- 7J. BrekaloM
- 23J. ÞorsteinssonF
- 17S. GrønningF
- 42D. ZeefuikD
- 47Selim TelibM
- 18L. SchulerF
- 9G. NilssonF
- 41P. KlemensD
- 33S. GouramM
- 43T. GollerG
- 31M. DárdaiD
- 20Farid Alfa-RuprechtF
Form going into Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC
Dynamo Dresden
2. Bundesliga
- D2-2away to Eintracht Braunschweig12 September 2026
Hertha BSC
2. Bundesliga
- W3-1away to VfL Osnabrück13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC
- 4 April 2026Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
- 1 November 2025Hertha BSC 2–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 30 October 2019Hertha Berlin 5–5 Dynamo DresdenDFB Pokal
- 2 March 2013Dynamo Dresden 1–0 Hertha Berlin2. Bundesliga
- 26 September 2012Hertha Berlin 1–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC
Dynamo Dresden
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Hertha BSC
GoalsAssists
- J. Brekalo55
- J. Þorsteinsson31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hertha BSC won 2–1 at Dynamo Dresden. The model had leaned towards a win for Dynamo Dresden at 41% and given a win for Hertha BSC 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Patrice Čović 10' for Dynamo Dresden, Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson 29' for Hertha BSC, Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson 80' for Hertha BSC.
How the call on Dynamo Dresden v Hertha BSC has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Hertha BSC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Dynamo Dresden win41%▼ −1
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Hertha BSC win31%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.