Inter Miami vs Nashville SC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Inter Miami 2-2 Nashville SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Inter Miami, 28% draw, 24% Nashville SC — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Inter Miami at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Inter Miami vs Nashville SC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 97D. St.ClairG
- 17I. FrayD
- 5CasemiroD
- 37M. FalconD
- 15F. CaicedoD
- 7R. de PaulM
- 42Y. BrightM
- 8T. SegoviaM
- 10L. MessiF
- 9L. SuarezF
- 19G. BerterameF
- 34R. RiosG
- 3S. ReguilonD
- 4F. MuraD
- 16MicaelD
- 2G. LujanD
- 80M. GalarzaM
- 22D. AyalaM
- 88A. ShawM
- 56D. PinterF
- 99B. SchwakeG
- 31A. NajarD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 3M. WoledziD
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 8P. YazbekM
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 7C. EspinozaM
- 10H. MukhtarM
- 19A. MuylM
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 1J. WillisG
- 5J. MaherD
- 22J. BauerD
- 2D. LovitzD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 37A. QasemF
- 11E. SaadF
- 14S. MohammedM
Form going into Inter Miami vs Nashville SC
Inter Miami
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Chicago Fire10 September 2026
- D2-2Atlanta United FC5 September 2026
- W7-1CF Montreal29 August 2026
- L1-2Toronto FC22 August 2026
- D2-2away to Philadelphia Union19 August 2026
Nashville SC
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Toronto FC9 September 2026
- D0-0away to New York City FC4 September 2026
- W4-0FC Cincinnati30 August 2026
- W3-2Columbus Crew23 August 2026
- W1-0away to New York Red Bulls19 August 2026
What these results say
- Inter Miami scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Inter Miami conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Inter Miami.
- Nashville SC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75 | 55 | +20 | 56 |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66 | 23 | +43 | 71 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Inter Miami vs Nashville SC
- 16 August 2026Nashville SC 4–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 18 March 2026Inter Miami 1–1 Nashville SCCONCACAF Champions League
- 11 March 2026Nashville SC 0–0 Inter MiamiCONCACAF Champions League
- 9 November 2025Inter Miami 4–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- 1 November 2025Nashville SC 2–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 25 October 2025Inter Miami 3–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Inter Miami and Nashville SC
Inter Miami
GoalsAssists
- L. Messi2512
- L. Suárez156
Nashville SC
GoalsAssists
- S. Surridge181
- H. Mukhtar167
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Inter Miami and Nashville SC drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Inter Miami at 48% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Surridge 4' for Nashville SC, R. Baker-Whiting (own goal) 19' for Inter Miami, L. Messi 62' for Inter Miami, S. Surridge 90' for Nashville SC. On expected goals it finished 1.62–2.41.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.