Ajman vs Al-Ittihad Kalba Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Ajman 2-3 Al-Ittihad Kalba.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Ajman, 28% draw, 30% Al-Ittihad Kalba — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ajman at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ajman vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
Line-ups
- 81A. Al HosaniG
- 12Mohamed NasserD
- 5G. ZajkovD
- 44Yuri MatiasD
- 31Y. JabriD
- 8Jobson Souza SantosM
- 48Saad El HadaniM
- 99Victor HenriqueM
- 18I. MoumenM
- 7LourencyM
- 9W. AzaroF
- 40Abdullah Al TamimiG
- 2Abdelrahman RakanD
- 10Mohammad JumaM
- 3Abdulla SalehD
- 11Abdulla AbdelazizM
- 33LithierryF
- 6Victor HugoM
- 4S. SulimanD
- 17S. GassamaM
- 33Sultan Al MantheriG
- 96Marwan FahadD
- 22K. GünterD
- 26I. CisséD
- 19Alejandro VergazD
- 8Caio EduardoM
- 5Ali SalminM
- 10A. NoorollahiM
- 99Carlos AlbertoM
- 7S. GhoddosF
- 30B. TettehF
- 6R. AlivodaM
- 77AdysonF
- 24Khalid Al DarmakiM
- 34Yousif Ali AlmheiriD
- 9BiroM
- 27Yaser Al BlooshiF
- 41NetoM
- 94JuninhoM
- 23Waleed Al MahreziD
Form going into Ajman vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
Ajman
Pro League
- W2-1away to Al Nasr6 September 2026
- L0-3away to Al-Jazira29 August 2026
- W4-3Hatta SC22 August 2026
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Pro League
- L0-2Al Ain4 September 2026
- L1-4away to Dubai United28 August 2026
- L0-3Al-Wasl FC21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ajman | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Ajman and Al-Ittihad Kalba
Ajman
GoalsAssists
- Victor Henrique31
- W. Azaro20
Al-Ittihad Kalba
GoalsAssists
- B. Tetteh22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Ittihad Kalba won 3–2 at Ajman. The model had leaned towards a win for Ajman at 42% and given a win for Al-Ittihad Kalba 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Benjamin Tetteh 25' for Al-Ittihad Kalba, Carlos Alberto 42' for Al-Ittihad Kalba, Walid Azarou 45+2' for Ajman, Antônio Fialho de Carvalho Neto 67' for Al-Ittihad Kalba, Lithierry da Silva Neves 81' for Ajman.
How the call on Ajman v Al-Ittihad Kalba has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 39% / 29% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Ajman's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Ajman win42%▲ +3
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Al-Ittihad Kalba win30%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.