IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: IFK Goteborg 1-1 IF Elfsborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% IFK Goteborg, 23% draw, 41% IF Elfsborg — fair odds of 2.78, 4.35 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
IF Elfsborg at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg
Line-ups
- 12Viktor AnderssonG
- 18Felix ErikssonD
- 3August ErlingmarkD
- 6Hjörtur HermannssonD
- 22Noah TolfD
- 29Adam Bergmark WibergM
- 15David KruseM
- 24Oliver MånssonM
- 14Tobias HeintzM
- 8Sam LarssonF
- 7Sebastian ClemmensenF
- 27Alfons BorénF
- 28Issaka SeiduD
- 25Elis BishesariG
- 5Jonas BagerD
- 26Emil FasthM
- 16Filip OttossonM
- 21Leo RadakovicM
- 9Max FengerF
- 30Tiago CoimbraF
- 31Isak PetterssonG
- 16Alexander JensenD
- 6Rasmus WikströmD
- 4Thomas IsherwoodD
- 23Niklas HultD
- 5Sven Ossian NordvallM
- 10Simon OlssonM
- 29Momoh Ibrahim KamaraM
- 19Julius BeckM
- 9Arbër ZeneliM
- 21Leo ÖstmanF
- 15Simon HedlundM
- 25Ari SigurpálssonF
- 2Rufai MohammedD
- 24Frederik IhlerF
- 12Theo SanderG
- 1Tim ErlandssonG
- 28Frode AronssonD
- 22Dion KrasniqiF
- 11Taylor SilverholtF
Form going into IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg
IFK Goteborg
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Degerfors IF16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Gent13 August 2026
- W3-2Kalmar FF9 August 2026
- L0-1Gent6 August 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF2 August 2026
IF Elfsborg
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Vasteras SK FK14 August 2026
- W1-0away to Mjallby AIF8 August 2026
- W2-1away to Malmo FF26 July 2026
- L1-3Sirius19 July 2026
What these results say
- IFK Goteborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- IF Elfsborg scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- IF Elfsborg won 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for IF Elfsborg had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 31 | +11 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg
- 6 April 2026IF Elfsborg 2–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 28 July 2025IF Elfsborg 4–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 12 July 2025IFK Goteborg 1–2 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 25 August 2024IF Elfsborg 3–1 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 1 June 2024IFK Goteborg 1–0 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: IFK Goteborg and IF Elfsborg
IFK Goteborg
GoalsAssists
- S. Larsson83
IF Elfsborg
GoalsAssists
- L. Ãstman112
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
IFK Goteborg and IF Elfsborg drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for IF Elfsborg at 41% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Larsson (penalty) 63' for IFK Goteborg, L. Ostman 90' for IF Elfsborg.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.