Halmstad
vs
Kalmar FF
Allsvenskan prediction
The model makes it 16% Halmstad, 24% draw, 60% Kalmar FF — fair odds of 6.25, 4.17 and 1.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (13%).
Expected goals: Halmstad 0.78, Kalmar FF 1.76.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Halmstad
- L0-2Gais9 August 2026
- L0-2Sirius3 August 2026
- D1-1away to Gais26 July 2026
- L0-2BK Hacken19 July 2026
- L0-3away to Djurgardens IF13 July 2026
Kalmar FF
- L2-3away to IFK Goteborg9 August 2026
- D1-1away to BK Hacken1 August 2026
- W2-1Mjallby AIF25 July 2026
- D2-2Malmo FF20 July 2026
- L0-2away to Hammarby FF12 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Halmstad | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 33 | -22 | 7 |
| 11 | Kalmar FF | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Halmstad vs Kalmar FF
- 10 May 2026Kalmar FF 2–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 13 March 2026Halmstad 0–4 Kalmar FFFriendlies Clubs
- 21 March 2025Kalmar FF 0–1 HalmstadFriendlies Clubs
- 26 September 2024Halmstad 2–2 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 4 May 2024Kalmar FF 5–2 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 5 November 2023Halmstad 3–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers
Halmstad
No league goals recorded yet.
Kalmar FF
- C. Rosenquist7 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Halmstad carry a model rating of 5.98 against 6.54 for Kalmar FF. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Halmstad L-L-D-L-L; Kalmar FF L-D-W-D-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.78 goals for Halmstad and 1.76 for Kalmar FF. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Halmstad rate 0.36 in attack and 2.09 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Kalmar FF rate 0.60 and 1.15.
That points to 47% for over two and a half goals and 45% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Kalmar FF the highest probability at 60%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.78 expected goals for Halmstad against 1.76 for Kalmar FF. Halmstad's attack/defence rating is 0.36/2.09 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.15 for Kalmar FF.