Halmstad vs Kalmar FF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Halmstad 1-0 Kalmar FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Halmstad, 29% draw, 35% Kalmar FF — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Halmstad at 36% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Halmstad vs Kalmar FF
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. RonningG
- 17A. BomanD
- 5P. GregorD
- 3G. WallentinD
- 24R. KaibD
- 19M. IllaryM
- 8N. MaenpaaM
- 28T. TrybullM
- 14H. CarneilM
- 27R. AsconeF
- 9O. FarajF
- 35A. WihedG
- 4F. SchybergD
- 16E. TougjasD
- 6J. AllanssonM
- 25A. DamnjanovicM
- 23A. ZeljkovicF
- 22O. KapsimalisF
- 11L. ArvidssonF
- 18M. PerssonF
- 1S. BrolinG
- 2V. LarssonD
- 39L. SaetraD
- 20A. AlmqvistD
- 3S. OverbyD
- 10M. SoderbackM
- 23R. GojaniM
- 5M. HallbergM
- 24C. Sagoe JrM
- 13C. RosenqvistF
- 19E. DallF
- 32C. AnderssonG
- 12Z. RavikD
- 27K. BjorklundM
- 21A. MagashyM
- 7N. ChourakM
- 25N. ShamounM
- 9M. StoltF
- 70Emeka NnamaniF
Form going into Halmstad vs Kalmar FF
Halmstad
- D1-1away to Orgryte IS22 August 2026
Kalmar FF
- D0-0away to Vasteras SK FK23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Halmstad | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 14 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Halmstad vs Kalmar FF
- 10 May 2026Kalmar FF 2–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 13 March 2026Halmstad 0–4 Kalmar FFFriendlies Clubs
- 21 March 2025Kalmar FF 0–1 HalmstadFriendlies Clubs
- 26 September 2024Halmstad 2–2 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 4 May 2024Kalmar FF 5–2 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 5 November 2023Halmstad 3–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.