BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: BK Hacken 1-3 Vasteras SK FK.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% BK Hacken, 27% draw, 19% Vasteras SK FK — fair odds of 1.85, 3.70 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts BK Hacken at 54% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99E. BerishaG
- 5B. WembangomoD
- 15L. VaisanenD
- 22F. HelanderD
- 23O. SamuelssonD
- 20A. SvanbackM
- 19D. SegerM
- 10M. RygaardM
- 6A. DoumbiaM
- 11J. LindbergM
- 9G. LindgrenF
- 35D. AnderssonG
- 21A. LundkvistD
- 13H. HilveniusD
- 32H. IbrahimM
- 8S. HestnesM
- 18W. LindbergM
- 27C. WawaF
- 24B. SadikuF
- 14M. HaalandM
- 34E. JagerG
- 24J. TagessonD
- 4P. BondeD
- 2H. MagnussonD
- 11S. GefvertM
- 30M. HellisdalM
- 8M. DiagneM
- 15J. KarlssonM
- 19J. MagnussonF
- 16B. LendambiF
- 17T. AxelF
- 1A. FagerstromG
- 22L. BarkD
- 3M. BaggesenD
- 14I. LushakuM
- 5K. GunnarssonM
- 32M. AbdiM
- 20M. LjungqvistD
- 7A. BoudahF
- 9C. RisbjergF
Form going into BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken
- W3-0away to Sirius21 August 2026
Vasteras SK FK
- D0-0Kalmar FF23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | BK Hacken | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 36 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK FK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 35 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK
- 22 April 2026Vasteras SK FK 3–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 1 March 2026BK Hacken 4–1 Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen
- 28 July 2024BK Hacken 4–0 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 8 July 2024Vasteras SK FK 1–2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 20 March 2021BK Hacken 3–0 Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen
Leading scorers: BK Hacken and Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken
- G. Lindgren12 goals
- Julius Lindberg7 goals6 assists
Vasteras SK FK
- M. Ladefoged9 goals2 assists
- A. Taonsa8 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.