BK Hacken
vs
Vasteras SK FK
Allsvenskan prediction
The model makes it 50% BK Hacken, 26% draw, 24% Vasteras SK FK — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: BK Hacken 1.57, Vasteras SK FK 1.01.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
BK Hacken
- L0-3away to Hammarby FF9 August 2026
- D1-1Kalmar FF1 August 2026
- D0-0AIK Stockholm27 July 2026
- W2-0away to Halmstad19 July 2026
- L3-4away to Orgryte IS11 July 2026
Vasteras SK FK
- L0-3away to IF Elfsborg14 August 2026
- W1-0Djurgardens IF10 August 2026
- L0-6away to Djurgardens IF3 August 2026
- W2-0Orgryte IS24 July 2026
- D0-0away to Mjallby AIF17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | BK Hacken | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 25 |
| 7 | Vasteras SK FK | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK
- 22 April 2026Vasteras SK FK 3–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 1 March 2026BK Hacken 4–1 Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen
- 28 July 2024BK Hacken 4–0 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 8 July 2024Vasteras SK FK 1–2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 20 March 2021BK Hacken 3–0 Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen
Leading scorers
BK Hacken
- G. Lindgren7 goals
Vasteras SK FK
- M. Ladefoged9 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
BK Hacken carry a model rating of 6.21 against 6.14 for Vasteras SK FK. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): BK Hacken L-W-D-D-L; Vasteras SK FK D-W-L-W-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.57 goals for BK Hacken and 1.01 for Vasteras SK FK. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
BK Hacken rate 0.46 in attack and 1.68 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Vasteras SK FK rate 0.43 and 1.81.
That points to 48% for over two and a half goals and 51% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives BK Hacken the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.57 expected goals for BK Hacken against 1.01 for Vasteras SK FK. BK Hacken's attack/defence rating is 0.46/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.43/1.81 for Vasteras SK FK.