Osasuna vs Levante La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Osasuna 0-0 Levante.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Osasuna, 20% draw, 25% Levante — fair odds of 1.82, 5.00 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Osasuna at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Osasuna vs Levante
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1S. HerreraG
- 27I. ArguibideD
- 24A. CatenaD
- 5J. HerrandoD
- 23A. BretonesD
- 14R. GarciaM
- 7J. MoncayolaM
- 8I. MunozM
- 16M. GomezM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 10A. OrozF
- 31RafaG
- 13A. FernandezG
- 15D. RicoD
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 35U. SantosD
- 6L. TorroM
- 29A. OsambelaM
- 26M. EchegoyenM
- 9R. GarciaF
- 13M. RyanG
- 29N. PerezD
- 4DelaD
- 2A. MandiD
- 23M. SanchezD
- 20O. ReyM
- 7R. BrugueM
- 18E. BardeliM
- 8J. A. OlasagastiM
- 24T. FernandezM
- 9I. RomeroF
- 1P. CunatG
- 3I. NdukweD
- 22J. ToljanD
- 14J. CabelloD
- 10C. AlvarezM
- 27P. CortesF
- 5H. SoteloM
- 6D. RequenaM
- 17V. GarciaD
Form going into Osasuna vs Levante
Osasuna
No earlier matches on record this season.
Levante
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Espanyol16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Osasuna vs Levante
- 8 May 2026Levante 3–2 OsasunaLa Liga
- 8 December 2025Osasuna 2–0 LevanteLa Liga
- 19 March 2022Osasuna 3–1 LevanteLa Liga
- 5 December 2021Levante 0–0 OsasunaLa Liga
- 14 February 2021Levante 0–1 OsasunaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Osasuna and Levante
Osasuna
GoalsAssists
- A. Budimir80
Levante
GoalsAssists
- Brugui51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Osasuna and Levante drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Osasuna at 55% and given a draw 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.67–1.31.