Gais
vs
IF Brommapojkarna
Allsvenskan prediction
The model makes it 45% Gais, 26% draw, 29% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 2.22, 3.85 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Gais 1.61, IF Brommapojkarna 1.23.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Gais
- L0-1Malmo FF16 August 2026
- W2-0away to Halmstad9 August 2026
- D1-1Halmstad26 July 2026
- L0-2away to AIK Stockholm18 July 2026
- W1-0IF Elfsborg12 July 2026
IF Brommapojkarna
- W3-1Orgryte IS16 August 2026
- D2-2away to Sirius10 August 2026
- L1-2Malmo FF2 August 2026
- D1-1Hammarby FF26 July 2026
- L1-2away to IFK Goteborg17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gais | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 | IF Brommapojkarna | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna
- 6 July 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 GaisAllsvenskan
- 27 October 2025IF Brommapojkarna 0–2 GaisAllsvenskan
- 24 April 2025Gais 1–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 5 October 2024IF Brommapojkarna 2–0 GaisAllsvenskan
- 31 March 2024Gais 0–4 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 25 August 2019Gais 2–0 IF BrommapojkarnaSuperettan
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Gais carry a model rating of 6.4 against 6.42 for IF Brommapojkarna. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Gais W-L-D-W-L; IF Brommapojkarna L-D-L-D-W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.61 goals for Gais and 1.23 for IF Brommapojkarna. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Gais rate 0.60 in attack and 1.47 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; IF Brommapojkarna rate 0.60 and 1.42.
That points to 54% for over two and a half goals and 57% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 446 correct results out of 915 settled predictions (49%), with 86 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gais the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.61 expected goals for Gais against 1.23 for IF Brommapojkarna. Gais's attack/defence rating is 0.6/1.47 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.42 for IF Brommapojkarna.