Djurgardens IF
vs
Mjallby AIF
Allsvenskan prediction
The model makes it 39% Djurgardens IF, 23% draw, 38% Mjallby AIF — fair odds of 2.56, 4.35 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Djurgardens IF 1.82, Mjallby AIF 1.78.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Djurgardens IF
- L1-3AIK Stockholm16 August 2026
- L0-1away to Vasteras SK FK10 August 2026
- W6-0Vasteras SK FK3 August 2026
- W1-0away to Degerfors IF25 July 2026
- D0-0away to Orgryte IS20 July 2026
Mjallby AIF
- W4-3Sirius15 August 2026
- L0-1IF Elfsborg8 August 2026
- L1-2away to Kalmar FF25 July 2026
- D0-0Vasteras SK FK17 July 2026
- L1-2AIK Stockholm11 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Djurgardens IF | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 19 | +15 | 26 |
| 11 | Mjallby AIF | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | +1 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Djurgardens IF vs Mjallby AIF
- 17 August 2025Mjallby AIF 1–1 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 15 May 2025Djurgardens IF 1–3 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 2 February 2025Mjallby AIF 1–2 Djurgardens IFFriendlies Clubs
- 15 September 2024Djurgardens IF 1–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 25 May 2024Mjallby AIF 1–3 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 6 February 2024Djurgardens IF 0–1 Mjallby AIFFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers
Djurgardens IF
- K. Lien10 goals3 assists
Mjallby AIF
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Djurgardens IF carry a model rating of 6.4 against 6.56 for Mjallby AIF. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Djurgardens IF D-W-W-L-L; Mjallby AIF L-D-L-L-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.82 goals for Djurgardens IF and 1.78 for Mjallby AIF. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Djurgardens IF rate 0.57 in attack and 1.41 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Mjallby AIF rate 0.90 and 1.69.
That points to 70% for over two and a half goals and 70% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Djurgardens IF a 0.3% chance of the title and Mjallby AIF 0%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 446 correct results out of 915 settled predictions (49%), with 86 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Djurgardens IF the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.82 expected goals for Djurgardens IF against 1.78 for Mjallby AIF. Djurgardens IF's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.9/1.69 for Mjallby AIF.