23 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Frosinone vs Juventus Serie A prediction & result

Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Frosinone 0-1 Juventus.

Before kick-off the model made it 15% Frosinone, 18% draw, 67% Juventus — fair odds of 6.67, 5.56 and 1.49.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Juventus at 67%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Frosinone0%Draw3%Juventus97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽Bremerassist: F. Conceicao
Romano Schmid
43'
50'
Zeki Çelik
🔁R. Schmidout: P. Masini
59'
🔁S. Finiout: A. Zerbin
59'
🔁I. Monterisiout: A. Oyono
67'
🔁M. Cichellaout: L. Hasa
67'
69'
🔁Z. Celikout: A. Cambiaso
69'
🔁K. Yildizout: J. Boga
69'
🔁F. Conceicaoout: E. Zhegrova
🔁G. Bracagliaout: A. Terzic
76'
79'
🔁Douglas Luizout: T. Koopmeiners
81'
Andrea Cambiaso
Gabriele Calvani
90+3'
90+1'
🔁G. Vicarioout: M. Perin

Match stats — Frosinone vs Juventus

37%Possession63%
11Shots20
2On target5
3Corners12
0.45xG1.99

Goals against chances

Frosinone0 from 0.45 xGabout what the chances were worth
Juventus1 from 1.99 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Frosinone 4-2-3-1
  • 22L. PalmisaniG
  • 30I. MonterisiD
  • 3G. CalvaniD
  • 2G. CittadiniD
  • 79G. BracagliaD
  • 14G. CaloM
  • 16M. CichellaM
  • 40S. FiniM
  • 10R. SchmidM
  • 17G. KvernadzeM
  • 9A. RaimondoF
Substitutes
  • 12M. PisseriG
  • 91S. DesplanchesG
  • 71A. TerzicD
  • 20A. OyonoD
  • 25K. AkpogumaD
  • 34A. El AzzouziM
  • 5W. AmeyD
  • 27F. GrillitschM
  • 8I. KoutsoupiasM
Coach: Massimiliano Alvini
Juventus 4-2-3-1
  • 25G. VicarioG
  • 15P. KaluluD
  • 3BremerD
  • 6L. KellyD
  • 2Z. CelikD
  • 5M. LocatelliM
  • 12Douglas LuizM
  • 7F. ConceicaoM
  • 22W. McKennieM
  • 10K. YildizM
  • 9R. Kolo MuaniF
Substitutes
  • 1M. PerinG
  • 23C. PinsoglioG
  • 26J. LucumiD
  • 20A. CambiasoD
  • 24D. RuganiD
  • 32J. CabalD
  • 21F. MirettiM
  • 8T. KoopmeinersM
  • 19K. ThuramM
Coach: Luciano Spalletti

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Frosinone116232415+920
7Juventus115331512+318

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Frosinone vs Juventus

  • 25 February 2024Juventus 3–2 FrosinoneSerie A
  • 11 January 2024Juventus 4–0 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
  • 23 December 2023Frosinone 1–2 JuventusSerie A
  • 15 February 2019Juventus 3–0 FrosinoneSerie A
  • 23 September 2018Frosinone 0–2 JuventusSerie A

The full Frosinone vs Juventus record →

Leading scorers: Frosinone and Juventus

Frosinone

GoalsAssists

  • A. Raimondo80
  • G. Calò51

Juventus

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Juventus won 1–0 at Frosinone. The model had made a win for Juventus its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Bremer 22' for Juventus. On expected goals it finished 0.45–1.99.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.