17 July 2026

Fluminense vs RB Bragantino Serie A prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: Fluminense 1-1 RB Bragantino.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Fluminense, 27% draw, 48% RB Bragantino — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts RB Bragantino at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
⚽Eduardo Sashaassist: J. Herrera
🔁J. Millanout: J. Freytes
33'
🔁Jemmesout: Ignacio
46'
🔁J. Savarinoout: John Kennedy
56'
🔁K. Sernaout: A. Canobbio
56'
58'
Eduardo Sasha
64'
Alix Vinicius
64'
Agustin Sant Anna
67'
🔁Eduardo Sashaout: A. Hurtado
68'
🔁J. Herreraout: H. Mosquera
🔁Herculesout: G. Cano
79'
85'
🔁Fernando Santosout: Pedro Henrique
85'
🔁Eric Ramiresout: Matheus Fernandes
Juan Pablo Freytes
90+5'
Ignácio
90+5'
John Kennedy
90+4'
90+5'
Henry Mosquera
90'
Tiago Volpi
90+4'
Fabinho
90+2'
🔁Rodriguinhoout: Fabinho
⚽Ignacioassist: A. Canobbio
90'

Match stats — Fluminense vs RB Bragantino

67%Possession33%
25Shots6
4On target2
11Corners4
1.56xG0.89

Goals against chances

Fluminense1 from 1.56 xGless than the chances were worth
RB Bragantino1 from 0.89 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Fluminense 4-2-3-1
  • 1FábioG
  • 23GugaD
  • 44JemmesD
  • 29Julián MillánD
  • 6RenêD
  • 35HérculesM
  • 8MartinelliM
  • 11Jefferson SavarinoM
  • 32Luciano AcostaM
  • 90Kevin SernaM
  • 7HulkF
Substitutes
  • 22Juan Pablo FreytesD
  • 4IgnácioD
  • 17Agustín CanobbioF
  • 9John KennedyF
  • 14Germán CanoF
  • 27Marcelo PitalugaG
  • 13Guilherme AranaD
  • 46Júlio FidelisD
  • 30Yeferson SoteldoF
Coach: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
RB Bragantino 4-1-4-1
  • 18Tiago VolpiG
  • 23Agustin Sant AnnaD
  • 4Alix ViniciusD
  • 16Gustavo MarquesD
  • 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
  • 7Eric RamiresM
  • 32José HerreraM
  • 21Lucas BarbosaM
  • 20RodriguinhoM
  • 11FernandoM
  • 8Eduardo SashaF
Substitutes
  • 34José Andrés HurtadoD
  • 30Henry MosqueraF
  • 14Pedro HenriqueD
  • 35Matheus FernandesM
  • 5FabinhoM
  • 1CleitonG
  • 2Guzmán RodríguezD
  • 3Eduardo SantosD
  • 22Gustavo NevesM
Coach: Mancini Vagner

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Fluminense2712964135+645
9RB Bragantino26106103229+336

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fluminense vs RB Bragantino

  • 17 July 2026Fluminense 1–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 23 August 2025RB Bragantino 4–2 FluminenseSerie A
  • 6 April 2025Fluminense 2–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 28 July 2024RB Bragantino 0–1 FluminenseSerie A
  • 14 April 2024Fluminense 2–2 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 22 October 2023RB Bragantino 1–0 FluminenseSerie A

Leading scorers: Fluminense and RB Bragantino

Fluminense

  • John Kennedy9 goals1 assists

RB Bragantino

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.