6 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Full time2 – 5

Final score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 HNK Hajduk Split.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 20% draw, 46% HNK Hajduk Split — fair odds of 2.94, 5.00 and 2.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: HNK Hajduk Split v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 13 Aug →

HNK Hajduk Split went through 9–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

HNK Hajduk Split at 46%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Zalgiris Vilnius0%Draw1%HNK Hajduk Split99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Yuri Kendysh
4'
5'
⚽M. Sego (pen)
14'
⚽Michele Šego (pen)
Petar Bosančić
25'
⚽N. Petkovicassist: S. Bilenkyi
34'
44'
⚽M. Sego
49'
🔁A. Van Hoorenbeeckout: R. Raci
51'
Rokas Pukštas
55'
⚽A. Pajazitiassist: M. Soticek
🔁I. Lytvynenkoout: M. Capan
65'
67'
🔁M. Segoout: M. Livaja
68'
🔁A. Sanyangout: A. Sutalo
72'
⚽D. de Almeidaassist: A. Sutalo
75'
⚽R. Pukstas
🔁P. Golubickasout: N. Mihajlovic
76'
🔁N. Petkovicout: M. Vareika
76'
Deividas Šešplaukis
78'
78'
🔁R. Pukstasout: N. Sigur
78'
🔁D. de Almeidaout: E. Brruti
🔁P. Bosancicout: G. Turda
82'
🔁Y. Kendyshout: O. Verbickas
82'
⚽M. Capan
85'
90+4'
•Marin Šotiček

Match stats — FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split

48%Possession52%
5On target8
2Corners5

Line-ups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-2-3-1
  • 12V. Sarkauskas
  • 18D. SesplaukisM
  • 4D. Koy Lupano
  • 15P. BosancicD
  • 21D. FrankeD
  • 20I. LytvynenkoM
  • 77Y. KendyshD
  • 10P. GolubickasM
  • 19S. BilenkyiF
  • 70B. TeixeiraM
  • 11N. PetkovicF
Substitutes
  • 1C. OlsesG
  • 5G. TurdaD
  • 6M. CapanM
  • 7N. MihajlovicM
  • 8L. AntalF
  • 9G. JaruseviciusM
  • 13K. UpstasD
  • 14M. SetkusD
  • 22O. VerbickasM
Coach: Andrius Skerla
HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
  • 33T. SilicG
  • 22M. AcapandieD
  • 15D. MaresicD
  • 5A. Van HoorenbeeckD
  • 32S. HrgovicD
  • 21R. PukstasM
  • 4A. PajazitiM
  • 7A. SanyangM
  • 9D. de AlmeidaM
  • 23M. SoticekM
  • 11M. SegoF
Substitutes
  • 44D. StipicaG
  • 99D. FesyukG
  • 3R. GabricD
  • 8N. SigurD
  • 10M. LivajaF
  • 14R. RaciD
  • 16A. SutaloM
  • 17D. MelnjakD
  • 19E. BrrutiM
Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

Form going into FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

All competitions we cover

  • W7-2Dinamo Tbilisi30 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Dinamo Tbilisi23 July 2026

HNK Hajduk Split

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to NK Varazdin2 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Pafos30 July 2026
  • W2-0Pafos23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

HNK Hajduk Split won 5–2 at FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The model had made a win for HNK Hajduk Split its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Sego (penalty) 5' for HNK Hajduk Split, N. Petkovic 34' for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, M. Sego 44' for HNK Hajduk Split, A. Pajaziti 55' for HNK Hajduk Split, D. de Almeida 72' for HNK Hajduk Split, R. Pukstas 75' for HNK Hajduk Split, M. Capan 85' for FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.