Hobro vs Kolding IF 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Hobro 1-1 Kolding IF.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Hobro, 29% draw, 29% Kolding IF — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All 1. Division (Denmark) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hobro at 42% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Hobro vs Kolding IF
Hobro
- L2-5away to HB Koge21 September 2026
- D0-0Vejle11 September 2026
- L1-3Hvidovre4 September 2026
- L1-3away to Hillerød30 August 2026
Kolding IF
- D1-1Hillerød18 September 2026
- D0-0FC Fredericia12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Aarhus Fremad6 September 2026
- W2-1AB Copenhagen29 August 2026
What these results say
- Hobro did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Hobro scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hobro conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kolding IF failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kolding IF scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kolding IF conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hobro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Kolding IF | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hobro vs Kolding IF
- 10 October 2026Hobro 1–1 Kolding IF1. Division
- 6 March 2026Kolding IF 2–1 Hobro1. Division
- 28 September 2025Hobro 2–2 Kolding IF1. Division
- 14 March 2025Kolding IF 1–0 Hobro1. Division
- 20 September 2024Hobro 1–0 Kolding IF1. Division
- 17 May 2024Kolding IF 2–1 Hobro1. Division
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.