Felgueiras 1932
vs
FC Porto B
Segunda Liga prediction
Our model says: Felgueiras 1932 2–1 FC Porto B
The model makes it 43% Felgueiras 1932, 27% draw, 30% FC Porto B — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Felgueiras 1932 1.63, FC Porto B 1.30.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Felgueiras 1932's rating is built from 44 Liga Portugal 2 matches and FC Porto B's from 44, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Felgueiras 1932 are 15th on 8 points from 10 games; FC Porto B are 16th on 8 points from 10 games — Segunda Liga.
- Felgueiras 1932 have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 3-3 draw at home to Leixoes.
- FC Porto B are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Portimonense.
- Last 4 meetings: Felgueiras 1932 3 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 4 May 2026, ended FC Porto B 1–0 Felgueiras 1932.
More Liga Portugal 2 predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Felgueiras 1932 vs FC Porto B
Has the model earned this number?
Felgueiras 1932 at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Felgueiras 1932 vs FC Porto B
Felgueiras 1932
Segunda Liga
- D3-3Leixoes7 November 2026
- L2-3away to Tondela1 November 2026
- D2-2Lusitânia Lourosa25 October 2026
- L0-1away to Benfica B12 October 2026
- L1-2Penafiel12 September 2026
FC Porto B
Segunda Liga
- L0-1Portimonense8 November 2026
- L1-2away to Amarante31 October 2026
- D1-1União de Leiria25 October 2026
- W2-1away to Leixoes10 October 2026
- D2-2Vizela14 September 2026
What these results say
- Felgueiras 1932 did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Felgueiras 1932 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Felgueiras 1932 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Porto B conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Porto B failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Porto B scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Felgueiras 1932 vs FC Porto B
- 4 May 2026FC Porto B 1–0 Felgueiras 1932Segunda Liga
- 21 December 2025Felgueiras 1932 2–0 FC Porto BSegunda Liga
- 22 February 2025Felgueiras 1932 1–0 FC Porto BSegunda Liga
- 29 September 2024FC Porto B 0–2 Felgueiras 1932Segunda Liga
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Felgueiras 1932 a 0.1% chance of the title and FC Porto B 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Felgueiras 1932 the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.63 expected goals for Felgueiras 1932 against 1.30 for FC Porto B. Felgueiras 1932's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.63 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.64 for FC Porto B.
How the model reaches 43% for Felgueiras 1932 to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Felgueiras 1932 to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Felgueiras 1932's ratings take away 2 points and FC Porto B's ratings change nothing, which lands on the published 43%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level45%+1
- Felgueiras 1932's ratings43%−2
- FC Porto B's ratings43%±0
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Felgueiras 1932 at home · FC Porto B away
League matches only, Segunda Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Segunda Liga matches this season: Felgueiras 1932 10, FC Porto B 10.
FC Porto B score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); Felgueiras 1932 have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Felgueiras 1932
- at Portimonense6 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 30%
- vs Torreense14 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 39%
- at União de Leiria20 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 24%
- vs Academica27 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 39%
FC Porto B
- vs Academica5 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 41%
- at Chaves14 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 35%
- vs Sporting CP B20 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 37%
- at AVS27 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 27%
- vs Torreense3 Jan · Segunda Ligawin 42%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.