Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18 · 2 August 2026, 00:30 UTC

Chicago Fire vs Charlotte

Soldier Field, Chicago

The model makes it 46% Chicago Fire, 27% draw, 27% Charlotte — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Chicago Fire 1.51, Charlotte 1.11.

Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

53%
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 13%1-0 10%2-1 9%

Head-to-head: Chicago Fire vs Charlotte

  • 29 June 2025Chicago Fire 3–2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 17 May 2025Charlotte 1–4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • 2 October 2024Charlotte 4–3 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • 16 May 2024Chicago Fire 0–1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 8 October 2023Chicago Fire 0–2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 17 May 2023Charlotte 2–1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Chicago Fire the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.51 expected goals for Chicago Fire against 1.11 for Charlotte. Chicago Fire's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.18 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.23 for Charlotte.