FC Sion
vs
Lausanne
Super League prediction
Our model says: FC Sion 2–0 Lausanne
The model makes it 63% FC Sion, 23% draw, 14% Lausanne — fair odds of 1.59, 4.35 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (13%).
Expected goals: FC Sion 2.07, Lausanne 0.73.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: FC Sion are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- FC Sion are 3rd on 19 points from 10 games; Lausanne are bottom on 6 points from 10 games — Super League.
- FC Sion have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Servette FC.
- Lausanne have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to FC St. Gallen.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 12 April 2026, ended FC Sion 3–0 Lausanne.
More Swiss Super League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Sion vs Lausanne
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Sion at 63% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Sion vs Lausanne
FC Sion
- L0-3away to Servette FC10 October 2026
- D1-1FC Zurich19 September 2026
- W5-2away to Grasshoppers15 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC St. Gallen12 September 2026
- W3-2FC Thun6 September 2026
Lausanne
- L0-1away to FC St. Gallen11 October 2026
- L0-4FC Lugano20 September 2026
- L0-1Servette FC13 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Vaduz5 September 2026
- D0-0away to FC Thun2 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Sion scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Sion conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Sion had three goals or more.
- Lausanne did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Lausanne failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lausanne conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sion | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 19 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Sion
Chance to finish in the top four · 89% today
Lausanne
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 91% today
From our Super League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: FC Sion vs Lausanne
- 12 April 2026FC Sion 3–0 LausanneSuper League
- 9 November 2025Lausanne 2–2 FC SionSuper League
- 28 September 2025FC Sion 0–0 LausanneSuper League
- 5 April 2025Lausanne 2–0 FC SionSuper League
- 23 November 2024Lausanne 1–0 FC SionSuper League
- 27 July 2024FC Sion 4–0 LausanneSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Sion and Lausanne
FC Sion
GoalsAssists
- Winsley Boteli Mokango64
- J. Lukembila34
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FC Sion carry a model rating of 6.64 against 6.26 for Lausanne. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.07 goals for FC Sion and 0.73 for Lausanne. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Sion rate 0.76 in attack and 1.16 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Lausanne rate 0.42 and 1.46.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Sion a 1.4% chance of the title and Lausanne 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Sion the highest probability at 63%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.07 expected goals for FC Sion against 0.73 for Lausanne. FC Sion's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.42/1.46 for Lausanne.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FC Sion at home · Lausanne away
League matches only, Super League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
FC SionLausanne
FC Sion are 3rd after 10 Super League matches (between 2nd and 11th so far); Lausanne are 12th after 10 (between 1st and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League matches this season: FC Sion 10, Lausanne 10.
FC Sion score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Lausanne have let in 2 there.
Lausanne score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); FC Sion have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
FC Sion
- at FC Luzern31 Oct · Super Leaguewin 42%
- at FC Vaduz7 Nov · Super Leaguewin 39%
- vs Servette FC21 Nov · Super Leaguewin 47%
- vs BSC Young Boys29 Nov · Super Leaguewin 43%
- at Lausanne6 Dec · Super Leaguewin 51%
Lausanne
- vs FC Thun1 Nov · Super Leaguewin 32%
- at Grasshoppers7 Nov · Super Leaguewin 30%
- vs FC Vaduz22 Nov · Super Leaguewin 28%
- at Servette FC28 Nov · Super Leaguewin 18%
- vs FC Sion6 Dec · Super Leaguewin 22%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.