FC Basel 1893
vs
Grasshoppers
Super League prediction
Our model says: FC Basel 1893 2–1 Grasshoppers
The model makes it 53% FC Basel 1893, 24% draw, 23% Grasshoppers — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: FC Basel 1893 2.01, Grasshoppers 1.17.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to FC Basel 1893: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- FC Basel 1893 are 7th on 13 points from 10 games; Grasshoppers are 11th on 8 points from 10 games — Super League.
- FC Basel 1893 have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to FC Vaduz.
- Grasshoppers are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to BSC Young Boys.
- Last 6 meetings: FC Basel 1893 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 5 March 2026, ended FC Basel 1893 1–0 Grasshoppers.
More Swiss Super League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Basel 1893 at 53% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers
FC Basel 1893
- L0-3away to FC Vaduz11 October 2026
- L1-3FC St. Gallen20 September 2026
- W4-2away to FC Luzern13 September 2026
- L1-3FC Lugano6 September 2026
- L1-2FC Sion3 September 2026
Grasshoppers
- L0-2BSC Young Boys11 October 2026
- L1-5away to FC Luzern19 September 2026
- L2-5FC Sion15 September 2026
- W1-0away to FC Thun12 September 2026
- D2-2FC Zurich5 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Basel 1893 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for FC Basel 1893 had three goals or more.
- FC Basel 1893 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Grasshoppers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Grasshoppers scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Grasshoppers conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Basel 1893
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 20% today
Grasshoppers
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 83% today
From our Super League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers
- 5 March 2026FC Basel 1893 1–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 23 November 2025Grasshoppers 1–1 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 2 August 2025FC Basel 1893 2–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 3 April 2025FC Basel 1893 2–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 14 December 2024FC Basel 1893 0–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 3 August 2024Grasshoppers 0–3 FC Basel 1893Super League
Leading scorers: FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers
FC Basel 1893
GoalsAssists
- Ž. Celar61
- A. Sow34
- X. Shaqiri31
Grasshoppers
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FC Basel 1893 carry a model rating of 6.39 against 6.23 for Grasshoppers. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.01 goals for FC Basel 1893 and 1.17 for Grasshoppers. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Basel 1893 rate 0.61 in attack and 1.52 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Grasshoppers rate 0.51 and 1.77.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Basel 1893 the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.01 expected goals for FC Basel 1893 against 1.17 for Grasshoppers. FC Basel 1893's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.52 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.77 for Grasshoppers.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FC Basel 1893 at home · Grasshoppers away
League matches only, Super League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
FC Basel 1893Grasshoppers
FC Basel 1893 are 6th after 10 Super League matches (between 1st and 6th so far); Grasshoppers are 10th after 10 (between 1st and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League matches this season: FC Basel 1893 10, Grasshoppers 10.
FC Basel 1893 score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Grasshoppers have let in 2 there.
Grasshoppers score most often in the 31–45 minute window (4 goals); FC Basel 1893 have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
FC Basel 1893
- at FC Lugano1 Nov · Super Leaguewin 11%
- at FC Thun8 Nov · Super Leaguewin 30%
- vs FC Luzern22 Nov · Super Leaguewin 40%
- at Grasshoppers28 Nov · Super Leaguewin 40%
- vs Servette FC6 Dec · Super Leaguewin 34%
Grasshoppers
- vs FC Vaduz31 Oct · Super Leaguewin 28%
- vs Lausanne7 Nov · Super Leaguewin 41%
- at FC Lugano21 Nov · Super Leaguewin 7%
- vs FC Basel 189328 Nov · Super Leaguewin 34%
- at FC St. Gallen6 Dec · Super Leaguewin 18%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.