Farul Constanta
vs
Csikszereda
The model makes it 64% Farul Constanta, 24% draw, 12% Csikszereda — fair odds of 1.56, 4.17 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (16%).
Expected goals: Farul Constanta 1.73, Csikszereda 0.60.
Both teams to score: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Farul Constanta
- D2-2away to FCSB3 August 2026
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara25 July 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj19 July 2026
Csikszereda
- L0-1away to Arges Pitesti31 July 2026
- L0-2FCSB26 July 2026
- L0-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Farul Constanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Farul Constanta vs Csikszereda
- 21 March 2026Csikszereda 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 6 March 2026Csikszereda 1–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 3 November 2025Farul Constanta 3–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 2 July 2022Farul Constanta 2–2 CsikszeredaFriendlies Clubs
- 3 July 2021Farul Constanta 1–1 CsikszeredaFriendlies Clubs
- 5 December 2020Farul Constanta 0–2 CsikszeredaLiga II
Leading scorers
Farul Constanta
- Iustin Doicaru2 goals1 assists
Csikszereda
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Farul Constanta carry a model rating of 6.52 against 6.2 for Csikszereda. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Farul Constanta L-W-D; Csikszereda L-L-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.73 goals for Farul Constanta and 0.60 for Csikszereda. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Farul Constanta rate 0.65 in attack and 1.27 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Csikszereda rate 0.34 and 1.41.
That points to 41% for over two and a half goals and 38% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (16%), 2-0 (15%), 1-1 (11%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 207 correct results out of 443 settled predictions (47%), with 42 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Farul Constanta the highest probability at 64%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.73 expected goals for Farul Constanta against 0.6 for Csikszereda. Farul Constanta's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.34/1.41 for Csikszereda.