Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18 · 1 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

CF Montreal vs New England Revolution

Saputo Stadium, Montreal

The model makes it 49% CF Montreal, 23% draw, 28% New England Revolution — fair odds of 2.04, 4.35 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: CF Montreal 1.89, New England Revolution 1.37.

Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

64%
Both teams to score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 10%2-1 9%2-0 7%

Head-to-head: CF Montreal vs New England Revolution

  • 4 April 2026New England Revolution 3–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 7 February 2026New England Revolution 1–2 CF MontrealFriendlies Clubs
  • 25 July 2025New England Revolution 1–3 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 31 May 2025CF Montreal 0–3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 18 September 2024New England Revolution 2–2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 24 August 2024CF Montreal 0–5 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives CF Montreal the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.89 expected goals for CF Montreal against 1.37 for New England Revolution. CF Montreal's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.58 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.35 for New England Revolution.