Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18 · 1 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

DC United vs Nashville SC

Audi Field, Washington

The model makes it 48% DC United, 25% draw, 27% Nashville SC — fair odds of 2.08, 4.00 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: DC United 1.69, Nashville SC 1.20.

Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

58%
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%2-1 10%1-0 9%

Head-to-head: DC United vs Nashville SC

  • 10 May 2026Nashville SC 2–2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 10 July 2025Nashville SC 5–2 DC UnitedUS Open Cup
  • 28 June 2025DC United 0–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 18 May 2025Nashville SC 0–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 12 February 2025Nashville SC 4–1 DC UnitedFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 October 2024Nashville SC 3–4 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives DC United the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.69 expected goals for DC United against 1.2 for Nashville SC. DC United's attack/defence rating is 0.76/2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.43/1.18 for Nashville SC.