Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Konyaspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Erzurumspor FK, 30% draw, 31% Konyaspor — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Erzurumspor FK at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
Line-ups
- 1E. TaşkıranG
- 53O. OvacıklıD
- 4A. GerxhaliuD
- 22M. YumluD
- 18N. MujakićD
- 15G. GiorbelidzeD
- 99M. FettahoğluM
- 42E. OwusuM
- 6B. BaiyeM
- 65M. RodríguezM
- 10E. TozluF
- 23C. BayrakD
- 90N. AxundzadəF
- 17E. AnapaG
- 8S. AkgünM
- 19I. DiabateF
- 2F. EboseleD
- 9G. KerkF
- 3Y. KırtayD
- 20Miguel CardosoM
- 13B. GüngördüG
- 17Y. AndzouanaD
- 22R. BaniyaD
- 4A. DemirbağD
- 26A. MasuakuD
- 77M. İbrahimoğluM
- 8M. JevtovićM
- 19E. ColleyM
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 11J. MulekaM
- 94E. DestanF
- 15C. AwaziemD
- 3A. BoşlukD
- 91J. DompéF
- 1D. ErtaşG
- 42Mostafa MohamedF
- 66T. RajmundM
- 9D. TürüçF
- 5U. YazğılıD
- 45E. BarsF
Form going into Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
Erzurumspor FK
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.28 August 2026
- L0-4Galatasaray21 August 2026
- L0-3away to Amed16 August 2026
Konyaspor
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Kocaelispor29 August 2026
- L2-4away to Fenerbahçe22 August 2026
- L0-1Rizespor15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Erzurumspor FK | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
- 5 July 2022Erzurumspor FK 0–4 KonyasporFriendlies Clubs
- 25 July 2021Erzurumspor FK 1–2 KonyasporFriendlies Clubs
- 4 April 2021Erzurumspor FK 1–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 5 December 2020Konyaspor 2–0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
- 19 January 2019Erzurumspor FK 1–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Erzurumspor FK and Konyaspor
Erzurumspor FK
GoalsAssists
- E. Tozlu31
- Miguel Cardoso30
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Erzurumspor FK beat Konyaspor 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Erzurumspor FK at 39%. The goal: Eren Tozlu 17' for Erzurumspor FK.