Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Konyaspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Erzurumspor FK, 30% draw, 31% Konyaspor — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Erzurumspor FK at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
Line-ups
- 1E. TaşkıranG
- 53O. OvacıklıD
- 4A. GerxhaliuD
- 22M. YumluD
- 18N. MujakićD
- 15G. GiorbelidzeD
- 99M. FettahoğluM
- 42E. OwusuM
- 6B. BaiyeM
- 65M. RodríguezM
- 10E. TozluF
- 23C. BayrakD
- 90N. AxundzadəF
- 17E. AnapaG
- 8S. AkgünM
- 19I. DiabateF
- 2F. EboseleD
- 9G. KerkF
- 3Y. KırtayD
- 20Miguel CardosoM
- 13B. GüngördüG
- 17Y. AndzouanaD
- 22R. BaniyaD
- 4A. DemirbağD
- 26A. MasuakuD
- 77M. İbrahimoğluM
- 8M. JevtovićM
- 19E. ColleyM
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 11J. MulekaM
- 94E. DestanF
- 15C. AwaziemD
- 3A. BoşlukD
- 91J. DompéF
- 1D. ErtaşG
- 42Mostafa MohamedF
- 66T. RajmundM
- 9D. TürüçF
- 5U. YazğılıD
- 45E. BarsF
Form going into Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
Erzurumspor FK
- D1-1away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.28 August 2026
- L0-4Galatasaray21 August 2026
- L0-3away to Amed16 August 2026
Konyaspor
- L1-2Kocaelispor29 August 2026
- L2-4away to Fenerbahçe22 August 2026
- L0-1Rizespor15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Erzurumspor FK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
- 5 September 2026Erzurumspor FK 1–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 5 July 2022Erzurumspor FK 0–4 KonyasporFriendlies Clubs
- 25 July 2021Erzurumspor FK 1–2 KonyasporFriendlies Clubs
- 4 April 2021Erzurumspor FK 1–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 5 December 2020Konyaspor 2–0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
- 19 January 2019Erzurumspor FK 1–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Erzurumspor FK and Konyaspor
Erzurumspor FK
- E. Tozlu2 goals
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.