Eintracht Frankfurt
vs
FC Augsburg
Bundesliga prediction
The model makes it 53% Eintracht Frankfurt, 21% draw, 26% FC Augsburg — fair odds of 1.89, 4.76 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.14, FC Augsburg 1.47.
Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg
- 25 April 2026FC Augsburg 1–1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 13 December 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 20 April 2025FC Augsburg 0–0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 7 December 2024Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 19 April 2024Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 3 December 2023FC Augsburg 2–1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Eintracht Frankfurt carry a model rating of 6.85 against 6.81 for FC Augsburg. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.14 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.47 for FC Augsburg. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Eintracht Frankfurt rate 0.97 in attack and 0.98 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Augsburg rate 1.07 and 1.17.
That points to 70% for over two and a half goals and 68% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 542 correct results out of 1143 settled predictions (47%), with 104 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.14 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt against 1.47 for FC Augsburg. Eintracht Frankfurt's attack/defence rating is 0.97/0.98 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.07/1.17 for FC Augsburg.