Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Dynamo 2-1 Spartak Moscow.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Dynamo, 31% draw, 34% Spartak Moscow — fair odds of 2.86, 3.23 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dynamo at 35% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow
Line-ups
- 1K. RasulovG
- 4J. CaceresD
- 55M. OsipenkoD
- 57David RicardoD
- 8RubensD
- 24L. ChavezM
- 15D. GlebovM
- 10BitelloM
- 91Y. GladyshevF
- 70K. TyukavinF
- 11Arthur GomesF
- 99A. LunevG
- 31I. LeshchukG
- 7D. SkopintsevD
- 56L. ZaydenzalD
- 6R. FernandezD
- 2N. MarichalD
- 5M. MajstorovicD
- 74D. FominM
- 88V. OkishorM
- 98A. MaksimenkoG
- 83G. FernandesD
- 3C. WoohD
- 4A. DjikuD
- 33V. ParadaD
- 18N. UmyarovM
- 7P. SolariM
- 25D. PrutsevM
- 47R. ZobninM
- 10MarquinhosM
- 9M. UgaldeF
- 56A. DovbnyaG
- 1I. PomazunG
- 6S. BabicD
- 82D. KhlusevichD
- 97D. DenisovD
- 71A. DobroditskiyD
- 17V. SausM
- 40I. SorokinM
- 27I. DmitrievM
Form going into Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
- W1-0away to Lokomotiv29 August 2026
Spartak Moscow
- D1-1FC Orenburg30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow
- 6 September 2026Dynamo 2–1 Spartak MoscowPremier League
- 18 March 2026Spartak Moscow 1–0 DynamoCup
- 5 March 2026Dynamo 5–2 Spartak MoscowCup
- 6 December 2025Spartak Moscow 1–1 DynamoPremier League
- 13 September 2025Dynamo 2–2 Spartak MoscowPremier League
- 11 May 2025Dynamo 2–0 Spartak MoscowPremier League
Leading scorers: Dynamo and Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
GoalsAssists
- K. Tyukavin41
Spartak Moscow
GoalsAssists
- M. Ugalde40
- M. Daku31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.