Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina Moskva.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Dinamo Makhachkala, 24% draw, 25% Rodina Moskva — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Makhachkala at 51% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva
Line-ups
- 39T. MagomedovG
- 72A. SandrachukD
- 24A. AlarconD
- 99M. AlibekovD
- 77T. SundukovD
- 6M. ApshatsevM
- 52E. SmelovM
- 47N. GlushkovM
- 16H. MrezigueM
- 88D. LesovoyM
- 11MiroF
- 1D. VolkG
- 33N. KarabashevG
- 43I. AkhmedovD
- 13S. KagermazovD
- 23M. MakhamadzhonovD
- 10M. HosseinnejadM
- 21A. DzhabrailovM
- 9R. MagomedovM
- 19K. ZinovichM
- 13S. VolkovG
- 80S. BessmertniyD
- 26A. MeshchaninovD
- 75M. NadeD
- 3L. GoglichidzeD
- 6R. FishchenkoM
- 8I. PozoM
- 9A. MaksimenkoM
- 10Y. ReynaM
- 17S. BakaevM
- 7G. OnugkhaF
- 1S. AydarovG
- 55M. KrizanD
- 88A. SokolD
- 49I. DyatlovD
- 72A. GordyushenkoM
- 38L. MusaevM
- 5A. EgorychevM
- 23K. UshatovM
- 11B. MansillaF
Form going into Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva
Dinamo Makhachkala
- L1-3away to Rubin30 August 2026
Rodina Moskva
- L0-3Baltika30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva
- 6 September 2026Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
- 18 May 2024Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
- 23 October 2023Rodina Moskva 0–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaFirst League
- 15 April 2023Rodina Moskva 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaFirst League
- 25 September 2022Dinamo Makhachkala 0–0 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
Leading scorers: Dinamo Makhachkala and Rodina Moskva
Dinamo Makhachkala
GoalsAssists
- G. Agalarov50
Rodina Moskva
GoalsAssists
- A. Maksimenko31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.