23 August 2026, 12:15 UTC

Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva Premier League prediction & result

VTB Arena, Moscow
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Dynamo 3-1 Rodina Moskva.

Before kick-off the model made it 71% Dynamo, 14% draw, 15% Rodina Moskva — fair odds of 1.41, 7.14 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dynamo at 71%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dynamo99%Draw1%Rodina Moskva0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Timofey Marinkin
24'
27'
Stanislav Bessmertniy
31'
⚽I. Pozo
⚽K. Tyukavinassist: M. Osipenko
38'
🔁T. Marinkinout: D. Glebov
39'
🔁L. Zaydenzalout: J. Caceres
46'
⚽K. Tyukavin
50'
⚽A. Miranchukassist: Bitello
56'
🔁A. Miranchukout: L. Chavez
58'
58'
🔁A. Gordyushenkoout: S. Bakaev
58'
🔁A. Gharibyanout: I. Timoshenko
Yaroslav Gladyshev
69'
69'
🔁S. Bessmertniyout: I. Dyatlov
69'
🔁R. Fishchenkoout: K. Ushatov
🔁D. Skopintsevout: Rubens
77'
🔁K. Tyukavinout: I. Sergeev
77'
80'
🔁Y. Reynaout: K. Cissoko
David Ricardo
83'
85'
Iker Pozo
Ivan Sergeev
90+2'

Match stats — Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva

64%Possession36%
22Shots7
10On target2
5Corners2

Line-ups

Dynamo 4-3-3
  • 1K. RasulovG
  • 56L. ZaydenzalD
  • 55M. OsipenkoD
  • 57David RicardoD
  • 7D. SkopintsevD
  • 21A. MiranchukM
  • 60T. MarinkinM
  • 10BitelloM
  • 91Y. GladyshevF
  • 70K. TyukavinF
  • 11Arthur GomesF
Substitutes
  • 31I. LeshchukG
  • 4J. CaceresD
  • 6R. FernandezD
  • 8RubensM
  • 24L. ChavezM
  • 88V. OkishorM
  • 15D. GlebovM
  • 33I. SergeevF
  • 17U. BabaevF
Coach: Sandro Schwarz
Rodina Moskva 4-4-2
  • 13S. VolkovG
  • 80S. BessmertniyD
  • 19D. TananeevD
  • 26A. MeshchaninovD
  • 3L. GoglichidzeD
  • 72A. GordyushenkoM
  • 6R. FishchenkoM
  • 8I. PozoM
  • 9A. MaksimenkoM
  • 77A. GharibyanF
  • 10Y. ReynaF
Substitutes
  • 71I. SvinovG
  • 1S. AydarovG
  • 55M. KrizanD
  • 88A. SokolD
  • 49I. DyatlovD
  • 38L. MusaevM
  • 5A. EgorychevM
  • 23K. UshatovM
  • 17S. BakaevM
Coach: Juan Diaz

Form going into Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva

Dynamo

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Zenit16 August 2026
  • W3-1Dinamo Makhachkala9 August 2026

Rodina Moskva

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3Akron15 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Zenit9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Dynamo1410132313+1031
13Rodina Moskva143381529-1412

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Dynamo and Rodina Moskva

Dynamo

GoalsAssists

  • K. Tyukavin71
  • V. Okishor32

Rodina Moskva

GoalsAssists

  • A. Maksimenko31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dynamo beat Rodina Moskva 3–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Dynamo at 71%. The goals: I. Pozo 31' for Rodina Moskva, K. Tyukavin 38' for Dynamo, K. Tyukavin 50' for Dynamo, A. Miranchuk 56' for Dynamo.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.