Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Başakşehir 2-0 Kocaelispor.
Before kick-off the model made it 70% Başakşehir, 19% draw, 11% Kocaelispor — fair odds of 1.43, 5.26 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Başakşehir at 70%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16Muhammed ŞengezerG
- 42Ömer Ali ŞahinerD
- 23Emin BayramD
- 3Jerome OpokuD
- 21Christopher OperiD
- 8Olivier KemenM
- 18Jakub KałuzińskiM
- 70Andreas Skov OlsenM
- 14Eldor ShomurodovM
- 11Abbosbek FayzullaevM
- 91Bertuğ YıldırımF
- 7Yusuf SarıF
- 17Umut BozokF
- 9Davie SelkeF
- 15Hamza GürelerD
- 4Onur ErgünM
- 98Deniz DilmenG
- 33Michał KarbownikD
- 20Umut GüneşM
- 19Berkay ÖzcanM
- 83Serhat ÖztaşdelenG
- 99Rigoberto RivasD
- 4Tanguy ZoukrouD
- 2Anfernee Jamal DijksteelD
- 21Massadio HaïdaraD
- 22Uğur Kaan YıldızM
- 14ShowM
- 10Berkan KutluM
- 7Dan AgyeiF
- 32Makana BakuF
- 75Tayfur BingölF
- 26Metehan AltunbaşF
- 5Emir OrtakayaD
- 27Ege BilimM
- 17Arda OzyarF
- 23Onurcan PiriG
- 41Onur ÖztongaD
- 3Muharrem CinanD
- 20Mahamadou SusohoM
- 89Bedirhan YıldızF
Form going into Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Inter Turku30 July 2026
- D1-1Inter Turku22 July 2026
Kocaelispor
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Başakşehir | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor
- 6 April 2026Kocaelispor 0–0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 31 October 2025Başakşehir 1–0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
- 26 March 2024Başakşehir 5–2 KocaelisporFriendlies Clubs
- 8 October 2021Başakşehir 3–1 KocaelisporFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Başakşehir and Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
GoalsAssists
- E. Shomurodov81
Kocaelispor
GoalsAssists
- B. Kutlu51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Başakşehir beat Kocaelispor 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Başakşehir at 70%. The goals: Christopher Operi 14' for Başakşehir, Eldor Shomurodov 72' for Başakşehir. On expected goals it finished 1.96–0.50.