Dundee
vs
Rangers
Premiership prediction
Our model says: Dundee 1–2 Rangers
The model makes it 28% Dundee, 27% draw, 45% Rangers — fair odds of 3.57, 3.70 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Dundee 1.22, Rangers 1.87.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Dundee are 4th on 10 points from 7 games; Rangers are 2nd on 16 points from 7 games — Premiership.
- Dundee have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Motherwell.
- Rangers are unbeaten in their last 5 (5 won), most recently a 1-0 win away to Celtic.
- Last 6 meetings: Rangers 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 25 January 2026, ended Rangers 3–0 Dundee.
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Dundee vs Rangers
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rangers at 45% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Dundee vs Rangers
Dundee
- W2-1Motherwell19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Heart of Midlothian6 September 2026
- D1-1St Johnstone2 September 2026
- L1-2Hibernian30 August 2026
- W2-0away to Dundee United22 August 2026
Rangers
- W1-0away to Celtic20 September 2026
- W1-0St Mirren9 September 2026
- W1-0Motherwell5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Falkirk2 September 2026
- W1-0away to Aberdeen30 August 2026
What these results say
- Dundee scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dundee conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Dundee.
- Rangers won every one of these 5 matches.
- Rangers scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Rangers kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 | Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Dundee vs Rangers
- 25 January 2026Rangers 3–0 DundeePremiership
- 9 November 2025Dundee 0–3 RangersPremiership
- 9 August 2025Rangers 1–1 DundeePremiership
- 29 March 2025Dundee 3–4 RangersPremiership
- 9 January 2025Dundee 1–1 RangersPremiership
- 21 December 2024Rangers 1–0 DundeePremiership
Leading scorers: Dundee and Rangers
Dundee
- J. Westley3 goals
- B. Fink2 goals
Rangers
- L. Shankland3 goals
- R. Naderi2 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Dundee carry a model rating of 6.37 against 6.71 for Rangers. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.22 goals for Dundee and 1.87 for Rangers. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Dundee rate 0.61 in attack and 1.59 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Rangers rate 0.90 and 1.19.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Dundee a 0.2% chance of the title and Rangers 34.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rangers the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.22 expected goals for Dundee against 1.87 for Rangers. Dundee's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.59 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.9/1.19 for Rangers.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Dundee at home · Rangers away
League matches only, Premiership, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premiership matches this season: Dundee 7, Rangers 7.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Dundee
- at St Mirren24 Oct · Premiershipwin 35%
- vs Kilmarnock28 Oct · Premiershipwin 47%
- at Hibernian31 Oct · Premiershipwin 29%
- at St Johnstone7 Nov · Premiershipwin 31%
Rangers
- vs St Johnstone24 Oct · Premiershipwin 56%
- at Heart of Midlothian28 Oct · Premiershipwin 35%
- vs Aberdeen31 Oct · Premiershipwin 56%
- at St Mirren7 Nov · Premiershipwin 48%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.