Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Dunav Ruse 0-1 Slavia Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Dunav Ruse, 27% draw, 46% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 3.70, 3.70 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Sofia at 46% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia
Line-ups
- 33G. KitanovG
- 4J. CabarcasD
- 5K. AntoniouD
- 22S. PredevD
- 88D. TodorovD
- 44V. VidakovićM
- 14R. ApostolovM
- 24S. GavrilovM
- 2M. DilchovskiD
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-LouisM
- 9Álex ValiñoF
- 39Andre AlvesD
- 6S. YovkovD
- 19S. StefanovM
- 78E. SouM
- 77A. SimeonovF
- 69P. PepelyashevG
- 11D. MinchevF
- 18I. KeïtaF
- 51I. BudinovD
- 99I. AndonovG
- 87D. FerraressoD
- 4N. SavićD
- 5David MalembanaD
- 20J. Semedo VarelaD
- 95V. MiletićM
- 71K. StoyanovD
- 77E. StoevF
- 73I. MinchevM
- 7R. RaychevF
- 10V. NikolovM
- 6B. TodorovM
- 27Umaro BaldéF
- 9Y. BornosuzovF
- 11M. DossoM
- 3M. GeorgievD
- 19E. GogevF
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 16Maksimilian LazarovD
- 24L. MarinD
Form going into Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia
Dunav Ruse
- D2-2Lokomotiv Sofia31 August 2026
Slavia Sofia
- L1-2Levski Sofia2 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 8 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia
- 7 September 2026Dunav Ruse 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 24 February 2020Slavia Sofia 3–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 15 September 2019Dunav Ruse 0–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 3 May 2019Dunav Ruse 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 12 April 2019Slavia Sofia 3–5 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 6 December 2018Dunav Ruse 1–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.