Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Dubai United 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Dubai United, 28% draw, 34% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dubai United at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Line-ups
- 26S. LekovićG
- 19Hamid YahyaD
- 3O. JamalD
- 73M. MoraesD
- 2B. NagoroD
- 25M. NameM
- 30Adeel Al ChadliM
- 5A. KarimiM
- 23J. NaafoM
- 10Willy SemedoM
- 49E. MaouhoubF
- 4Sultan Abu DakenM
- 80S. BabickaF
- 88Habib Al FardanM
- 22Mohammed Yousuf GhulamM
- 7Pape GuèyeF
- 8Baidi DiakiteM
- 6Majid SurourD
- 52Hussain AbbasD
- 66K. A. Al HassaniD
- 33Matheus DonelliG
- 3Igor GomesD
- 13RenanD
- 44Jorge FernandesD
- 16RikelmeD
- 24J. MarkeloM
- 88N. MaksimovićM
- 6S. EzatolahiM
- 57Yuri CésarM
- 21Sultan AdilF
- 20S. AzmounF
- 8Mohammad JumaM
- 10F. CartabiaM
- 19MateusãoF
- 14D. GarcíaM
- 9R. GhandipourF
- 17Khaled Al SenaaniG
- 5E. IralaM
- 30Oumar KeitaM
- 61Bader NasserD
Form going into Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Dubai United
Pro League
- L3-4away to Sharjah FC5 September 2026
- W4-1Al-Ittihad Kalba28 August 2026
- W3-2away to Baniyas SC23 August 2026
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Pro League
- L1-3Al-Jazira5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Al-Wasl FC28 August 2026
- W2-0Al-Dhafra22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dubai United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 7 |
| 2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Dubai United and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Dubai United
GoalsAssists
- Willy Semedo41
- Adeel Al Chadli22
- S. Babicka21
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dubai United and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Dubai United at 38% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: El Mehdi Maouhoub 58' for Dubai United, Saeid Ezatolahi (penalty) 74' for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
How the call on Dubai United v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 30% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 38% / 28% / 34%: the biggest move is Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Dubai United win38%▼ −2
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win34%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.