10 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Bayern München vs Bodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Allianz Arena, Munich
Full time5 – 0

Final score: Bayern München 5-0 Bodo/Glimt.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Bayern München, 25% draw, 19% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bayern München at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bayern München99%Draw1%Bodo/Glimt0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45'
🔁Nikita Haikinout: Julian Faye Lund
⚽Jamal Musialaassist: Harry Kane
47'
58'
Sondre Fet
⚽Harry Kaneassist: Michael Olise
61'
65'
🔁Sondre Fetout: Jens Petter Hauge
🔁Konrad Laimerout: Josip Stanišić
65'
🔁Jamal Musialaout: Ismael Saibari
65'
71'
🔁Joshua Kitolanoout: Ulrik Saltnes
⚽Alphonso Davies
77'
🔁Luis Díazout: Lennart Karl
80'
🔁Alphonso Daviesout: Hiroki Ito
80'
🔁Joshua Kimmichout: Tom Bischof
80'
81'
🔁Andreas Helmersenout: Ola Brynhildsen
81'
🔁Fredrik Bjorkanout: Isak Dybvik Maatta
⚽Michael Oliseassist: Lennart Karl
83'
87'
Odin Luras Bjortuft
⚽Michael Olise
90+2'

Match stats — Bayern München vs Bodo/Glimt

66%Possession34%
25Shots3
12On target0
6Corners3

Line-ups

Bayern München 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. NeuerG
  • 27K. LaimerD
  • 2D. UpamecanoD
  • 4J. TahD
  • 19A. DaviesD
  • 6J. KimmichM
  • 45A. PavlovićM
  • 17M. OliseM
  • 10J. MusialaM
  • 14L. DíazM
  • 9H. KaneF
Substitutes
  • 39Bara NdiayeM
  • 44J. StanišićD
  • 21H. ItoD
  • 34I. SaibariM
  • 3Kim Min-JaeD
  • 8T. BischofM
  • 26S. UlreichG
  • 42L. KarlM
  • 23S. BoeyD
Coach: V. Kompany
Bodo/Glimt 4-3-3
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjøvoldD
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 4O. BjørtuftD
  • 15F. BjørkanD
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 19S. FetM
  • 8S. AuklendF
  • 9A. HelmersenF
  • 11O. Didrik BlombergF
Substitutes
  • 32K. SolhaugM
  • 14U. SaltnesM
  • 22J. MvukaM
  • 25I. MäättäD
  • 1J. Faye LundG
  • 10J. HaugeM
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 5H. AleesamiD
  • 28Assan SanyangM
Coach: K. Knutsen

Form going into Bayern München vs Bodo/Glimt

Bayern München

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to FC Schalke 045 September 2026
  • W5-1VfB Stuttgart28 August 2026

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Fredrikstad4 September 2026
  • W4-2Rosenborg30 August 2026
  • W3-0NEC Nijmegen25 August 2026
  • W3-1away to NEC Nijmegen19 August 2026
  • W3-2Union St. Gilloise11 August 2026

What these results say

  • Bodo/Glimt won every one of these 5 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Bodo/Glimt had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Bayern München3120105+55
28Bodo/Glimt310249-53

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Bayern München and Bodo/Glimt

Bayern München

GoalsAssists

  • H. Kane42

Bodo/Glimt

No player in UEFA Champions League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bayern München beat Bodo/Glimt 5–0. The model had made a win for Bayern München its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Jamal Musiala 47' for Bayern München, Harry Kane 61' for Bayern München, Alphonso Davies 77' for Bayern München, Michael Olise 83' for Bayern München, Michael Olise 90+2' for Bayern München. Sent off: Odin Luras Bjortuft (Bodo/Glimt) 87'.

How the call on Bayern München v Bodo/Glimt has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 60% / 23% / 17% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 56% / 25% / 19%: the biggest move is Bayern München's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Bayern München win56%▼ −4
  2. Draw25%▲ +2
  3. Bodo/Glimt win19%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.