Al-Nassr vs Abha Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Nassr 2-1 Abha.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Al-Nassr, 27% draw, 24% Abha — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Nassr at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al-Nassr vs Abha
Al-Nassr
- L1-2away to Al-Ittihad5 September 2026
- W2-1Al Taawon28 August 2026
- W3-2away to Al-Ettifaq25 August 2026
Abha
- L0-1Al-Ettifaq4 September 2026
- L2-3away to Al-Fayha28 August 2026
- D1-1Al Khaleej Saihat25 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Nassr and Abha
Al-Nassr
- Ângelo3 goals2 assists
- Cristiano Ronaldo3 goals
Abha
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.