Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Petrolul Ploiesti 0-2 Rapid.
Before kick-off the model made it 13% Petrolul Ploiesti, 21% draw, 66% Rapid — fair odds of 7.69, 4.76 and 1.52. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid at 66% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 277 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid
Line-ups
- 38Lukáš ZimaG
- 22Mark ȚuțuD
- 4Paul PappD
- 71Breston MalulaD
- 2Andres DumitrescuD
- 20Sergiu HancaM
- 10Alejandro BranM
- 19Léo TeixeiraM
- 98Robert JerdeaM
- 7Rodrigo MartinsM
- 9Dan N'LunduluF
- 8Lucho VegaM
- 80Mario IonițăM
- 30Rareș LeescuD
- 66Tiberiu CăpuşăD
- 40Rareș ManolacheF
- 1Ștefan RădulescuG
- 29Kilian LudewigD
- 24Adam ZaianD
- 11Ioan ToleaM
- 16Marian AioaniG
- 19Răzvan OneaD
- 3Daniel GraovacD
- 6Lars KramerD
- 21Robert SălceanuD
- 22Vladan BubanjaM
- 15Cătălin VulturarM
- 44Chec Bebel DoumbiaM
- 55Rareș PopF
- 9Filip StojilkovićF
- 29Alex DobreF
- 5Alexandru PaşcanuD
- 23Cristian ManeaD
- 80Olimpiu MoruțanF
- 8Constantin GrameniM
- 88Omar El SawyM
- 99Bogdan UngureanuG
- 66Wedtoin Latif OuedraogoD
- 42Alin KumerD
- 77Jason KodorF
Form going into Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
- W2-1away to FC Voluntari14 August 2026
- W1-0Oțelul7 August 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Arges Pitesti24 July 2026
- W1-0Dinamo Bucuresti19 July 2026
Rapid
- L0-1Dinamo Bucuresti15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Uta Arad7 August 2026
- W3-1CFR 1907 Cluj2 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC Botosani27 July 2026
- W1-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe20 July 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rapid had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 19 |
| 2 | Rapid | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid
- 21 August 2026Petrolul Ploiesti 0–2 RapidLiga I
- 6 February 2026Rapid 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 27 September 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 RapidLiga I
- 29 November 2024Rapid 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 29 July 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 1–0 RapidLiga I
- 15 December 2023Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 RapidLiga I
Leading scorers: Petrolul Ploiesti and Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
- B. Malula3 goals
- D. Nlundulu3 goals
Rapid
- A. Dobre3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.