Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Göztepe 2-4 Gaziantep FK.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Göztepe, 28% draw, 33% Gaziantep FK — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Göztepe at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
Line-ups
- 25L. GugeshashviliG
- 4T. AltıkardeşD
- 13Ege YildirimD
- 26M. BokeleD
- 2A. KurtulanM
- 5RhaldneyM
- 20N. DismasM
- 12R. AkonnorM
- 7André HenriqueM
- 39JandersonF
- 9JuanF
- 18F. AnjorinM
- 8A. AntunesM
- 22S. ArmstrongF
- 16O. BayrakD
- 10E. BekiroğluM
- 14T. BökeF
- 6Alex MatosM
- 1A. ÖzçimenG
- 33Ş. ÖztürkG
- 25K. TobiaszG
- 2Luis PérezD
- 4A. KızıldağD
- 14M. AbenaD
- 23K. ÇalhanoğluD
- 6U. MelekeM
- 18D. SorescuM
- 8V. GidadoM
- 44A. MaximM
- 10K. KozłowskiM
- 28H. DervişoğluF
- 11M. CihanM
- 35A. DadakdenizG
- 77Sabahattin DesticiD
- 19S. DursunF
- 17Karamba GassamaM
- 61O. ÖzçiçekM
- 5E. SarıkayaD
- 9T. StewartF
- 21A. SyllaD
Form going into Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
Göztepe
- L2-3away to Galatasaray29 August 2026
- L0-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Samsunspor17 August 2026
Gaziantep FK
- L1-2Rizespor29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Eyüpspor23 August 2026
- D1-1Alanyaspor15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Göztepe | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 2 |
| 7 | Gaziantep FK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
- 7 September 2026Göztepe 2–4 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 9 May 2026Göztepe 2–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 14 December 2025Gaziantep FK 0–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 7 April 2025Göztepe 1–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 6 February 2025Göztepe 1–0 Gaziantep FKTürkiye Kupası
- 1 November 2024Gaziantep FK 2–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Göztepe and Gaziantep FK
Göztepe
- Juan4 goals
Gaziantep FK
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.