Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Göztepe 2-4 Gaziantep FK.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Göztepe, 28% draw, 33% Gaziantep FK — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Göztepe at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
Line-ups
- 25L. GugeshashviliG
- 4T. AltıkardeşD
- 13Ege YildirimD
- 26M. BokeleD
- 2A. KurtulanM
- 5RhaldneyM
- 20N. DismasM
- 12R. AkonnorM
- 7André HenriqueM
- 39JandersonF
- 9JuanF
- 18F. AnjorinM
- 8A. AntunesM
- 22S. ArmstrongF
- 16O. BayrakD
- 10E. BekiroğluM
- 14T. BökeF
- 6Alex MatosM
- 1A. ÖzçimenG
- 33Ş. ÖztürkG
- 25K. TobiaszG
- 2Luis PérezD
- 4A. KızıldağD
- 14M. AbenaD
- 23K. ÇalhanoğluD
- 6U. MelekeM
- 18D. SorescuM
- 8V. GidadoM
- 44A. MaximM
- 10K. KozłowskiM
- 28H. DervişoğluF
- 11M. CihanM
- 35A. DadakdenizG
- 77Sabahattin DesticiD
- 19S. DursunF
- 17Karamba GassamaM
- 61O. ÖzçiçekM
- 5E. SarıkayaD
- 9T. StewartF
- 21A. SyllaD
Form going into Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
Göztepe
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Galatasaray29 August 2026
- L0-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Samsunspor17 August 2026
Gaziantep FK
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Rizespor29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Eyüpspor23 August 2026
- D1-1Alanyaspor15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Göztepe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 12 |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
- 9 May 2026Göztepe 2–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 14 December 2025Gaziantep FK 0–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 7 April 2025Göztepe 1–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 6 February 2025Göztepe 1–0 Gaziantep FKTürkiye Kupası
- 1 November 2024Gaziantep FK 2–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Göztepe and Gaziantep FK
Göztepe
GoalsAssists
- Juan61
- André Henrique31
Gaziantep FK
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gaziantep FK won 4–2 at Göztepe. The model had leaned towards a win for Göztepe at 39% and given a win for Gaziantep FK 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Halil Dervisoglu 5' for Gaziantep FK, Myenty Abena 10' for Gaziantep FK, Kacper Kozłowski 34' for Gaziantep FK, Kacper Kozłowski 45+1' for Gaziantep FK, Juan Santos 51' for Göztepe, Juan Santos (penalty) 90+3' for Göztepe. Sent off: Ogun Bayrak (Göztepe) 72'.
How the call on Göztepe v Gaziantep FK has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 28% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 28% / 33%: the biggest move is Göztepe's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Göztepe win39%▼ −4
- Draw28%=
- Gaziantep FK win33%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.